Advanced Drainage Systems Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| WMS Stock | USD 133.23 1.58 1.20% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Advanced Drainage Systems is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Advanced Drainage Systems given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Advanced Drainage. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Advanced Drainage Systems, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Advanced Drainage Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Advanced and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Advanced Drainage Systems. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
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Execute Advanced Drainage Buy or Sell Advice
The Advanced recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Advanced Drainage Systems. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Advanced Drainage Systems or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Advanced Drainage's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Advanced Drainage Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Advanced Drainage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Advanced Drainage has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Advanced Drainage Systems Inc Shares Up 3.55 percent on Nov 25 |
Advanced Drainage Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Advanced Drainage's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Advanced Drainage's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Advanced Drainage daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Advanced Drainage Systems price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Advanced Drainage returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Advanced Drainage.
| Mean Return | -0.23 | Value At Risk | -3.58 | Potential Upside | 2.68 | Standard Deviation | 2.54 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Advanced Drainage historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Advanced Stock Institutional Investors
The Advanced Drainage's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Advanced Drainage's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Thrivent Financial For Lutherans | 2024-09-30 | 1.3 M | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.3 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M | William Blair Investment Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.1 M | Canada Pension Plan Investment Board | 2024-09-30 | 863.2 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 784.9 K | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 747.2 K | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 697.4 K | Liontrust Investment Partners Llp | 2024-09-30 | 644.4 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 7.6 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 7.3 M |
Advanced Drainage Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 19.1M | (14.6M) | (189.7M) | 30.2M | 594K | 623.7K | |
| Change In Cash | 165.3M | 20.8M | (174.9M) | 197.0M | 278.7M | 292.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 238.5M | 373.5M | 125.8M | 540.9M | 534.1M | 560.8M | |
| Depreciation | 124.9M | 145.6M | 141.8M | 145.1M | 151.8M | 103.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 42.9M | 7.9M | (10.9M) | 6.1M | 372K | 353.4K | |
| Dividends Paid | 92.1M | 32.2M | 38.5M | 39.6M | 44.0M | 37.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 67.7M | 78.8M | 149.1M | 166.9M | 183.8M | 193.0M | |
| Net Income | (191.8M) | 226.1M | 275.0M | 511.4M | 509.9M | 535.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 174.2M | 195.0M | 20.1M | 217.1M | 495.8M | 520.6M | |
| Investments | (1.2B) | (77.9M) | (198.8M) | (214.5M) | (155.7M) | (163.4M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 315.4M | (100M) | 145.5M | 361.6M | 415.8M | 436.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | 26.9M | 62.8M | (7.7M) | (8.8M) | (7.9M) | (7.5M) | |
| Change Receivables | 5.2M | (34.8M) | (97.0M) | 37.5M | 33.7M | 35.4M |
Advanced Drainage Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Advanced Drainage or Building Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Advanced Drainage's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Advanced stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.4 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Advanced Drainage Volatility Alert
Advanced Drainage Systems exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.61 and kurtosis of 14.28. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Advanced Drainage's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Advanced Drainage's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Advanced Drainage Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Advanced Drainage's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Advanced Drainage's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Advanced Drainage and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Advanced Drainage or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Advanced Drainage's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Advanced Drainage by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Advanced Drainage to competition |
| Fundamentals | Advanced Drainage | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.41 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.13 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.17 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.24 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 11.1 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 77.54 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 8.99 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 88.80 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.73 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 40.06 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 7.00 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.54 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.87 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 819.57 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 907.39 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 509.92 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 463.7 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 5.55 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.41 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.30 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.78 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 19.26 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 717.93 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.11 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 6.29 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.26 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 167.13 | |
| Number Of Employees | 5.71 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.53 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 10.33 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.27 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.09 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 860.35 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Scott Cottrill of 29398 shares of Advanced Drainage at 24.2 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Advanced Drainage Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Advanced . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Advanced Drainage Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Advanced Drainage Systems? Buying financial instruments such as Advanced Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Advanced Stock Analysis
When running Advanced Drainage's price analysis, check to measure Advanced Drainage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advanced Drainage is operating at the current time. Most of Advanced Drainage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advanced Drainage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advanced Drainage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advanced Drainage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.