West Fraser Timber Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| WFG Stock | USD 76.12 0.83 1.08% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding West Fraser Timber is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides West Fraser buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding WFG positions.
Check out West Fraser Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as West and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. West Fraser Timber. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
West |
Execute West Fraser Buy or Sell Advice
The West recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on West Fraser Timber. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in West Fraser Timber or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute West Fraser's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
3 Months |
Risk Tolerance
I am an educated risk taker |
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
West Fraser Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| West Fraser Timber generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.17 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (5 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.84 B. | |
| About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: West Fraser Timber Stock Slips as Tariffs Force a Look South - TipRanks |
West Fraser Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of West Fraser's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of West Fraser's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of West Fraser daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use West Fraser Timber price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of West Fraser returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for West Fraser.
| Mean Return | -0.22 |
| Value At Risk | -3.4 |
| Potential Upside | 2.32 |
| Standard Deviation | 1.54 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of West Fraser historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
West Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | |||
| Thrivent Financial For Lutherans | 2024-12-31 | 926.3 K | |
| Manning & Napier Advisors, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 853 K | |
| Van Lanschot Kempen Investment Management Nv | 2024-12-31 | 639.8 K | |
| Mackenzie Investments | 2024-12-31 | 609.7 K | |
| Vontobel Holding Ltd. | 2024-12-31 | 607.4 K | |
| Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., Llc | 2024-12-31 | 397 K | |
| Robotti Robert | 2024-12-31 | 330.7 K | |
| Td Asset Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 329.8 K | |
| Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd | 2024-12-31 | 317.2 K | |
| Fidelity International Ltd | 2024-12-31 | 5 M | |
| Royal Bank Of Canada | 2024-12-31 | 3 M |
West Fraser Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (7.1M) | (139M) | 20M | 132M | 11M | 11.6M | |
| Change In Cash | 460.3M | 1.1B | (406M) | (262M) | (259M) | (246.1M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 826.6M | 2.9B | 1.7B | 48M | 174M | 289.1M | |
| Depreciation | 213.3M | 584M | 589M | 541M | 549M | 576.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (130.2M) | (26M) | (1.0B) | 246M | 79M | 83.0M | |
| Dividends Paid | 43.1M | 75M | 99M | 101.8M | 101M | 106.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 313.9M | 189.0M | 635M | 477M | 487M | 511.4M | |
| Net Income | 608.6M | 2.9B | 2.0B | (167M) | (5M) | (4.8M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 460.3M | 1.6B | 1.2B | 900M | 641M | 673.1M | |
| Net Borrowings | 314M | (377M) | (667M) | (14M) | (12.6M) | (13.2M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (59M) | 265M | 90M | (412M) | (370.8M) | (352.3M) | |
| Investments | (222M) | (286M) | (459M) | (530M) | (318M) | (333.9M) |
West Fraser Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to West Fraser or Paper & Forest Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that West Fraser's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a West stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
West Fraser Volatility Alert
West Fraser Timber exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.41 and kurtosis of 0.2. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure West Fraser's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact West Fraser's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.West Fraser Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing West Fraser's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze West Fraser's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between West Fraser and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as West Fraser or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of West Fraser's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing West Fraser by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare West Fraser to competition |
| Fundamentals | West Fraser | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -7.0E-4 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0073 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.0008) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.0007 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.66 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 77.28 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 31.77 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 50.97 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 768 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 3.39 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.87 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.98 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 6.17 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.84 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 613 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (5 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.32 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 15.74 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 229 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.07 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.36 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 86.94 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 661 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.79 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.07) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.13 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 106.17 | |
| Number Of Employees | 9.7 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.11 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 6.08 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 8.76 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 4.73 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 903 M | 1.48 B |
West Fraser Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as West . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About West Fraser Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell West Fraser Timber? Buying financial instruments such as West Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having West Fraser in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Momentum Thematic Idea Now
Momentum
Large corporations operating in software, education, financial and car manufacturing industries. The Momentum theme has 31 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Momentum Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out West Fraser Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Paper & Forest Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of West Fraser. If investors know West will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about West Fraser listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.27) | Dividend Share 1.26 | Earnings Share (0.07) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of West Fraser Timber is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of West that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of West Fraser's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is West Fraser's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because West Fraser's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect West Fraser's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between West Fraser's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if West Fraser is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, West Fraser's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.