Webster Financial Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

WBS Stock  USD 61.78  0.27  0.44%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Webster Financial is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Webster Financial given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Webster Financial, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Webster Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Webster Stock please use our How to Invest in Webster Financial guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Webster and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Webster Financial. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Execute Webster Financial Buy or Sell Advice

The Webster recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Webster Financial. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Webster Financial or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Webster Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Webster FinancialBuy Webster Financial
Strong Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Webster Financial has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1232, Jensen Alpha of 0.1177, Total Risk Alpha of (0.06), Sortino Ratio of 0.1891 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1708
Macroaxis provides unbiased trade advice on Webster Financial that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Webster Financial. Our recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Webster Financial is not overpriced, please check out all Webster Financial fundamentals, including its total debt, market capitalization, and the relationship between the gross profit and earnings per share . Given that Webster Financial has a number of shares shorted of 4.04 M, we strongly advise you to confirm Webster Financial market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevalent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Webster Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Webster Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Webster Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 88.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 12th of November 2024 Webster Financial paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Webster Financials head of consumer banking sells 100,084 in stock

Webster Financial Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Webster Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Webster Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Webster Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Webster Financial price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Webster Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Webster Financial.
Mean Return
0.48
Value At Risk
-2.69
Potential Upside
3.89
Standard Deviation
3.15
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Webster Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Webster Stock Institutional Investors

The Webster Financial's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Webster Financial's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Earnest Partners Llc2024-09-30
M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
M
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc.2024-09-30
2.8 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
2.6 M
Alliancebernstein L.p.2024-09-30
2.1 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-09-30
2.1 M
Davis Asset Management, L.p.2024-09-30
M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
1.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
18.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
15.5 M
Note, although Webster Financial's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Webster Financial Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(71.6M)5.2M198.5M378.4M875.9M919.6M
Free Cash Flow278.1M359.3M672.0M1.3B938.3M985.3M
Depreciation37.5M36.6M41.5M82.7M70.9M47.2M
Other Non Cash Items53.0M229.9M75.0M271.8M250.5M263.1M
Dividends Paid148.7M152.8M152.7M261.5M294.8M309.5M
Capital Expenditures25.7M21.3M16.6M28.8M40.3M24.9M
Net Income382.7M220.6M408.9M644.3M859.9M902.9M
End Period Cash Flow257.9M263.1M461.6M839.9M1.7B1.8B
Investments(2.6B)(2.3B)(2.5B)(7.8B)(2.7B)(2.8B)
Net Borrowings876.6M(1.9B)(442.6M)5.9B6.8B7.1B
Change To Netincome2.2M120.3M(54.1M)231.6M266.3M279.7M

Webster Financial Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Webster Financial or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Webster Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Webster stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.73
σ
Overall volatility
3.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Webster Financial Volatility Alert

Webster Financial has relatively low volatility with skewness of 3.41 and kurtosis of 16.84. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Webster Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Webster Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Webster Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Webster Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Webster Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Webster Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Webster Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Webster Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Webster Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Webster Financial to competition
FundamentalsWebster FinancialPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0893-0.31
Return On Asset0.0102-0.14
Profit Margin0.33 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.45 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation12.03 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding171.41 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.90 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions88.29 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.04 M4.71 M
Price To Earning17.34 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.19 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.49 X11.42 X
Revenue2.5 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.19 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.16 B3.9 B
Net Income859.92 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents613.12 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.52 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.41 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity9.21 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share52.00 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations978.65 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.55 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.42 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.93 X4.89 X
Target Price62.62
Number Of Employees4.13 K18.84 K
Beta1.26-0.15
Market Capitalization10.64 B19.03 B
Total Asset74.95 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings3.28 B9.33 B
Annual Yield0.03 %
Five Year Return3.17 %
Note: Disposition of 1142 shares by James Griffin of Webster Financial at 62.15 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Webster Financial Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Webster . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Webster Financial Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Webster Financial? Buying financial instruments such as Webster Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Webster Stock Analysis

When running Webster Financial's price analysis, check to measure Webster Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Webster Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Webster Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Webster Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Webster Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Webster Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.