Vital Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| VTLE Stock | 27.05 0.81 2.91% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vital Energy is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Vital Energy buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding VTLE positions.
Check out Vital Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Vital Stock refer to our How to Trade Vital Stock guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Vital and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Vital Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
Vital |
Execute Vital Energy Buy or Sell Advice
The Vital recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vital Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vital Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vital Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Vital Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Vital Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vital Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.95 B. Net Loss for the year was (173.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.31 B. | |
| Vital Energy has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Vital Energy Q4 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Production and Strategic Debt Reduction |
Vital Energy Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Vital Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vital Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vital Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vital Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vital Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vital Energy.
| Mean Return | -0.15 | Value At Risk | -4.82 | Potential Upside | 4.42 | Standard Deviation | 3.10 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vital Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Vital Energy Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 7.9M | 8.0M | (12.4M) | (30.4M) | 26.1M | 27.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (7.2M) | (693.9M) | 242.9M | (668.0M) | 1.0B | 1.1B | |
| Depreciation | 13.1M | 13.6M | 22.6M | 466.9M | 742.0M | 779.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.2B | 282.5M | 138.6M | (99.6M) | 467.4M | 401.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 390.6M | 1.2B | 586.7M | 1.5B | 1.7B | 894.2M | |
| Net Income | (874.2M) | 145.0M | 631.5M | 695.1M | (173.5M) | (164.8M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 48.8M | 56.8M | 44.4M | 14.1M | 40.2M | 40.1M | |
| Investments | (389.2M) | (796.8M) | (476.0M) | (1.0B) | (1.7B) | (1.7B) |
Vital Energy Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vital Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vital Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vital stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Vital Energy Volatility Alert
Vital Energy exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.89 and kurtosis of 2.63. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vital Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vital Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Vital Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Vital Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vital Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vital Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vital Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vital Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vital Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Vital Energy to competition |
| Fundamentals | Vital Energy | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0633 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0563 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.09) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.13 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.61 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 38.12 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 22.59 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 78.85 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.86 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 0.41 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.54 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.95 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.31 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 438.39 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (173.52 M) | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 99.88 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 74.37 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 7.45 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (4.74) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 42.55 | |
| Beta | 3.13 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.06 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 5.88 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (1.12 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (134.58 M) | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 5.88 B |
Note: Acquisition by Segner Edmund P Iii of 1270 shares of Vital Energy subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Vital Energy Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vital . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Vital Energy Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Vital Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Vital Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Vital Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Vital Stock refer to our How to Trade Vital Stock guide.You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vital Energy. If investors know Vital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vital Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 21.038 | Earnings Share (4.74) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.202 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Vital Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vital Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vital Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vital Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vital Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vital Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vital Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vital Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.