Vistra Energy Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| VST Stock | USD 131.82 3.12 2.31% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vistra Energy Corp is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Vistra Energy Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Vistra Energy Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Vistra Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Vistra and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Vistra Energy Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
Vistra |
Execute Vistra Energy Buy or Sell Advice
The Vistra recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vistra Energy Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vistra Energy Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vistra Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
3 Months |
Risk Tolerance
I am an educated risk taker |
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Vistra Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Vistra Energy Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Over 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Vistra Corp Trading Down 2.41 percent on Mar 21 |
Vistra Energy Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Vistra Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vistra Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vistra Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vistra Energy Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vistra Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vistra Energy.
| Mean Return | 0.07 |
| Value At Risk | -7.81 |
| Potential Upside | 8.49 |
| Standard Deviation | 5.73 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vistra Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Vistra Stock Institutional Investors
The Vistra Energy's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Vistra Energy's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | |||
| Amvescap Plc. | 2024-12-31 | 3.3 M | |
| Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-12-31 | 3.2 M | |
| Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 3 M | |
| Coatue Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 3 M | |
| Norges Bank | 2024-12-31 | 3 M | |
| Castle Hook Partners Lp | 2024-12-31 | 3 M | |
| Ubs Group Ag | 2024-12-31 | 2.7 M | |
| Appaloosa Lp | 2024-12-31 | 2.7 M | |
| Neuberger Berman Group Llc | 2024-12-31 | 2.6 M | |
| Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 43.4 M | |
| Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 29.6 M |
Vistra Energy Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Capital Expenditures | 1.3B | 1.0B | 1.3B | 1.7B | 2.1B | 2.2B | |
| Net Income | 624M | (1.3B) | (1.2B) | 1.5B | 2.8B | 3.0B | |
| Dividends Paid | 266M | 290M | 453M | 463M | 478M | 454.1M | |
| Change To Inventory | (59M) | (100M) | 36M | (174M) | (31M) | (29.5M) | |
| Change In Cash | (31M) | 915M | (834M) | 3.0B | (2.3B) | (2.2B) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 2.1B | (1.2B) | (816M) | 3.8B | 4.6B | 4.8B | |
| Depreciation | 2.0B | 2.1B | 2.0B | 2.0B | 2.6B | 1.8B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 329M | 790M | 2.4B | (546M) | (980M) | (931M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 444M | 1.4B | 525M | 3.5B | 1.2B | 1.3B | |
| Net Borrowings | (344M) | (1.5B) | 556M | 2.3B | 2.1B | 2.2B | |
| Change To Netincome | (398M) | 768M | (206M) | (122M) | (140.3M) | (147.3M) | |
| Change Receivables | 88M | (33M) | (772M) | (308M) | (277.2M) | (291.1M) |
Vistra Energy Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vistra Energy or Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vistra Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vistra stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Vistra Energy Volatility Alert
Vistra Energy Corp exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vistra Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vistra Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Vistra Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Vistra Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vistra Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vistra Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vistra Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vistra Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vistra Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Vistra Energy to competition |
| Fundamentals | Vistra Energy | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.52 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0721 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.15 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 63.07 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 340.16 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.69 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 86.48 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 6.9 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 31.55 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 14.36 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.58 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 17.22 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 7.53 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 6.96 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 2.81 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 455 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.54 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 880 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.32 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.10 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 9.11 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 4.56 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.72 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 7.00 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.77 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 172.71 | |
| Number Of Employees | 6.85 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.23 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 44.42 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 37.77 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (454 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (313 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Jeff Hunter of 6923 shares of Vistra Energy subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Vistra Energy Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vistra . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 321608.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.49) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 131.17 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 131.39 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.91) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (3.12) |
About Vistra Energy Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Vistra Energy Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Vistra Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Vistra Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Emerging Markets Funds
Fund or Etfs that invest in markets of developing countries. The Emerging Markets Funds theme has 38 constituents at this time.
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Additional Tools for Vistra Stock Analysis
When running Vistra Energy's price analysis, check to measure Vistra Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vistra Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vistra Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vistra Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vistra Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vistra Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.