Vistra Energy Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VST Stock  USD 154.52  8.14  5.00%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vistra Energy Corp is 'Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Vistra Energy Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Vistra Energy. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Vistra Energy Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Vistra Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Vistra and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Vistra Energy Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Execute Vistra Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The Vistra recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vistra Energy Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vistra Energy Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vistra Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Vistra EnergyBuy Vistra Energy
Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Vistra Energy Corp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1904, Jensen Alpha of 0.8131, Total Risk Alpha of 0.3597, Sortino Ratio of 0.2288 and Treynor Ratio of 0.6233
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Vistra Energy Corp to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Vistra Energy Corp. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Vistra Energy Corp is not overpriced, please validate all Vistra Energy fundamentals, including its book value per share, and the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Given that Vistra Energy Corp has a price to earning of 31.55 X, we advise you to double-check Vistra Energy Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Vistra Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Vistra Energy Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Over 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Is Trending Stock Vistra Corp. a Buy Now

Vistra Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Vistra Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vistra Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vistra Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vistra Energy Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vistra Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vistra Energy.
Mean Return
1.01
Value At Risk
-5
Potential Upside
6.32
Standard Deviation
4.24
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vistra Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Vistra Stock Institutional Investors

The Vistra Energy's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Vistra Energy's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
3.8 M
Franklin Resources Inc2024-09-30
3.3 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
3.3 M
Third Point, Llc2024-09-30
3.2 M
Neuberger Berman Group Llc2024-06-30
3.1 M
Lsv Asset Management2024-09-30
2.9 M
Coatue Management Llc2024-09-30
2.8 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
2.8 M
Hhg Plc2024-06-30
2.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
43.7 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
27.2 M
Note, although Vistra Energy's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Vistra Energy Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Capital Expenditures609M1.3B1.0B1.3B1.7B911.2M
Net Income926M624M(1.3B)(1.2B)1.5B1.6B
Change To Inventory(44M)(59M)(100M)36M(174M)(165.3M)
Change In Cash(218M)(31M)915M(834M)3.0B3.2B
Free Cash Flow2.1B2.1B(1.2B)(816M)3.8B4.0B
Depreciation1.9B2.0B2.1B2.0B2.0B1.7B
Other Non Cash Items(524M)329M790M2.4B(546M)(518.7M)
End Period Cash Flow475M444M1.4B525M3.5B3.7B
Net Borrowings(344M)(1.5B)556M2.3B2.1B2.2B
Change To Netincome(398M)768M(206M)(122M)(140.3M)(147.3M)
Change Receivables88M(33M)(772M)(308M)(277.2M)(291.1M)

Vistra Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vistra Energy or Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vistra Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vistra stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.81
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.60
σ
Overall volatility
4.28
Ir
Information ratio 0.21

Vistra Energy Volatility Alert

Vistra Energy Corp shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vistra Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vistra Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Vistra Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Vistra Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vistra Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vistra Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vistra Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vistra Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vistra Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Vistra Energy to competition
FundamentalsVistra EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.3-0.31
Return On Asset0.0641-0.14
Profit Margin0.13 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.41 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation69.95 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding340.23 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.60 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions89.75 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted8.73 M4.71 M
Price To Earning31.55 X28.72 X
Price To Book17.73 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.23 X11.42 X
Revenue14.78 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.68 B27.38 B
EBITDA4.57 B3.9 B
Net Income1.49 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents455 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.54 X5.01 X
Total Debt14.68 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.32 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.10 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share8.70 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations5.45 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.38 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.32 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.90 X4.89 X
Target Price157.46
Number Of Employees4.87 K18.84 K
Beta1.11-0.15
Market Capitalization52.57 B19.03 B
Total Asset32.97 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(2.61 B)9.33 B
Working Capital1.81 B1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Jeff Hunter of 6923 shares of Vistra Energy subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Vistra Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vistra . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Vistra Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Vistra Energy Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Vistra Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Vistra Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Consumer Funds
Consumer Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in consumer products such as packaged goods, clothing, food, beverages and retail services. The Consumer Funds theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumer Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Vistra Stock Analysis

When running Vistra Energy's price analysis, check to measure Vistra Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vistra Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vistra Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vistra Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vistra Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vistra Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.