Marriot Vacations Worldwide Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| VAC Stock | USD 96.84 0.35 0.36% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Marriot Vacations Worldwide is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Marriot Vacations buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding VAC positions.
Check out Marriot Vacations Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Marriot and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Marriot Vacations Worldwide. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Marriot |
Execute Marriot Vacations Buy or Sell Advice
The Marriot recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Marriot Vacations Worldwide. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Marriot Vacations Worldwide or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Marriot Vacations' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Marriot Vacations Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Marriot Vacations is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Marriot Vacations has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 3rd of October 2024 Marriot Vacations paid $ 0.76 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Marriott Internationals William Brown sells shares worth 485,291 |
Marriot Vacations Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Marriot Vacations' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Marriot Vacations' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Marriot Vacations daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Marriot Vacations Worldwide price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Marriot Vacations returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Marriot Vacations.
| Mean Return | 0.47 | Value At Risk | -3.21 | Potential Upside | 4.78 | Standard Deviation | 2.67 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Marriot Vacations historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Marriot Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Victory Capital Management Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 767.8 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 552.5 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-06-30 | 537.7 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 496.4 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 482.8 K | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 389.6 K | Newsouth Capital Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 364.4 K | Lsv Asset Management | 2024-09-30 | 355.5 K | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 355.1 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 3.2 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 3.2 M |
Marriot Vacations Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 87M | 291M | (189M) | 51M | (280M) | (266M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 336M | 258M | 296M | 457M | 114M | 108.3M | |
| Depreciation | 141M | 123M | 146M | 132M | 135M | 72.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (140M) | 450M | (170M) | (268M) | 275M | 288.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 46M | 41M | 47M | 65M | 118M | 123.9M | |
| Net Income | 142M | (256M) | 53M | 391M | 254M | 266.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 701M | 992M | 803M | 854M | 574M | 452.5M | |
| Change To Inventory | 65M | 18M | 61M | 104M | 87M | 61.3M | |
| Change To Netincome | 236M | 299M | 189M | 183M | 210.5M | 115.2M | |
| Investments | 38M | (32M) | (213M) | 16M | (118M) | (112.1M) | |
| Change Receivables | 5.7M | (38M) | 69M | 21M | 18.9M | 19.8M | |
| Net Borrowings | 241M | 177M | (144M) | 413M | 475.0M | 498.7M | |
| Dividends Paid | 81M | 45M | 23M | 99M | 106M | 111.3M |
Marriot Vacations Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Marriot Vacations or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Marriot Vacations' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Marriot stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.73 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Marriot Vacations Volatility Alert
Marriot Vacations Worldwide has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.89 and kurtosis of 7.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Marriot Vacations' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Marriot Vacations' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Marriot Vacations Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Marriot Vacations' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Marriot Vacations' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Marriot Vacations and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Marriot Vacations or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Marriot Vacations' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marriot Vacations by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Marriot Vacations to competition |
| Fundamentals | Marriot Vacations | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0833 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0358 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.18 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 8.53 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 34.91 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 8.39 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 86.41 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.63 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 24.86 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.42 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.05 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.73 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.99 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 722 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 254 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 524 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 8.25 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 5.25 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.72 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 4.34 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 69.22 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 232 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.00 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 5.26 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.48 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 100.7 | |
| Number Of Employees | 22 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.8 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.37 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 9.68 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 742 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 2.64 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Michael Yonker of 1880 shares of Marriot Vacations subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Marriot Vacations Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Marriot . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Marriot Vacations Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Marriot Vacations Worldwide? Buying financial instruments such as Marriot Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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In addition to having Marriot Vacations in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Marriot Vacations Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marriot Vacations. If investors know Marriot will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Marriot Vacations listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.948 | Dividend Share 3.04 | Earnings Share 5.26 | Revenue Per Share 90.29 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.12 |
The market value of Marriot Vacations is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marriot that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marriot Vacations' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marriot Vacations' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Marriot Vacations' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marriot Vacations' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Marriot Vacations' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marriot Vacations is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marriot Vacations' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.