Virginia National Bankshares Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| VABK Stock | USD 41.65 0.83 2.03% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Virginia National Bankshares is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Virginia National's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Virginia National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Virginia and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Virginia National Bankshares. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
Virginia |
Execute Virginia National Buy or Sell Advice
The Virginia recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Virginia National Bankshares. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Virginia National Bankshares or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Virginia National's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Virginia National Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Virginia National has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Virginia National Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Virginia National's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Virginia National's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Virginia National daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Virginia National Bankshares price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Virginia National returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Virginia National.
| Mean Return | 0.13 | Value At Risk | -2.58 | Potential Upside | 3.79 | Standard Deviation | 1.81 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Virginia National historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Virginia Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Hpm Partners Llc | 2024-09-30 | 48.2 K | Salzhauer Michael | 2024-09-30 | 41.1 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 37.7 K | Grace & White Inc | 2024-09-30 | 34.3 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 34 K | Brown Advisory Holdings Inc | 2024-09-30 | 29.4 K | Raffles Associates Lp | 2024-09-30 | 26.9 K | U.s. Bancorp | 2024-06-30 | 18.6 K | Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp | 2024-09-30 | 14.9 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 297.6 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 281.6 K |
Virginia National Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 211K | 15.6M | 474.1M | (468.7M) | (11.7M) | (11.2M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 9.2M | 9.1M | 11.8M | 22.1M | 12.7M | 7.4M | |
| Depreciation | 1.2M | 2.0M | 4.4M | 5.1M | 4.8M | 5.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 794K | 1.2M | (1.6M) | (4.2M) | (9.6M) | (9.1M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 189K | 199K | 1.3M | 546K | 1.2M | 586.5K | |
| Net Income | 6.7M | 8.0M | 10.1M | 23.4M | 19.3M | 20.2M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 19.1M | 34.7M | 508.8M | 40.1M | 28.4M | 27.0M | |
| Dividends Paid | 3.1M | 3.2M | 6.4M | 6.4M | 7.1M | 7.4M | |
| Investments | (50.7M) | (58.1M) | 110.2M | (167.2M) | 47.2M | 49.6M | |
| Change Receivables | (509K) | 910K | 545K | (2.6M) | (2.3M) | (2.2M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 14.4M | (34.1M) | 30M | (42.6M) | (38.3M) | (36.4M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.2M | 1.2M | 1.5M | (4.3M) | (3.8M) | (3.6M) | |
| Change To Inventory | 504K | 951K | (1.6M) | 1.3M | 863K | 906.2K |
Virginia National Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Virginia National or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Virginia National's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Virginia stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.002 |
Virginia National Volatility Alert
Virginia National Bankshares has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.61 and kurtosis of 0.86. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Virginia National's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Virginia National's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Virginia National Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Virginia National's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Virginia National's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Virginia National and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Virginia National or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Virginia National's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Virginia National by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Virginia National to competition |
| Fundamentals | Virginia National | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.1 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0098 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.30 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.45 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 264.93 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 5.37 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 12.48 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 44.27 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 18.24 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 8.13 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.32 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.36 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 56.88 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 64.46 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 28.04 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 19.26 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 145.08 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 27.23 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 76.46 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 9.08 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 30.89 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 13.9 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.01 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.89 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 147 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.64 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 225.04 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.65 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 73.78 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.03 % | |
| Five Year Return | 3.24 % | |
| Net Asset | 1.65 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 1.32 |
Note: Acquisition by Frostick Randolph D of 905 shares of Virginia National at 33.175 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Virginia National Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Virginia . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Virginia National Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Virginia National Bankshares? Buying financial instruments such as Virginia Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Virginia National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Virginia National. If investors know Virginia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Virginia National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Dividend Share 1.32 | Earnings Share 2.89 | Revenue Per Share 9.603 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Virginia National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Virginia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Virginia National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Virginia National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Virginia National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Virginia National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Virginia National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Virginia National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Virginia National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.