Universal Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

UVV Stock  USD 53.78  0.66  1.24%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Universal is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Universal given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Universal, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Universal Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Universal Stock please use our How to Invest in Universal guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Universal and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Universal. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

Execute Universal Buy or Sell Advice

The Universal recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Universal. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Universal or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Universal's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell UniversalBuy Universal
Strong Buy

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Universal has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0032, Jensen Alpha of (0.01), Total Risk Alpha of (0) and Treynor Ratio of (0.02)
Our recommendation module provides unbiased trade recommendation that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on Universal. Our recommendation engine provides an advice for the company potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Universal is not overpriced, please validate all Universal fundamentals, including its ebitda, current ratio, and the relationship between the price to sales and cash per share . Given that Universal has a price to earning of 22.27 X, we advise you to double-check Universal market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Universal Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Universal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Universal has about 64.69 M in cash with (74.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.52.
Universal has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 3rd of February 2025 Universal paid $ 0.81 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Universal Shares Pass Above Two Hundred Day Moving Average - Whats Next - MarketBeat

Universal Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Universal's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Universal's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Universal daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Universal price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Universal returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Universal.
Mean Return
-0.003
Value At Risk
-2.42
Potential Upside
1.58
Standard Deviation
1.41
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Universal historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Universal Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Universal, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Universal back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
353.4 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
320 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
285.8 K
Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc2024-12-31
285.1 K
Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd.2024-12-31
264.4 K
Advisors Asset Management2024-12-31
223.6 K
Davenport & Company Llc2024-12-31
172.6 K
Adams Asset Advisors Llc2024-12-31
151.1 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-09-30
150 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
3.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
2.9 M
Note, although Universal's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Universal Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory43.2M(261.9M)(41.9M)9.2M8.3M8.7M
Change In Cash95.8M(115.6M)(23.0M)(9.1M)(8.2M)(7.8M)
Free Cash Flow154.3M(8.3M)(65.2M)(140.6M)(161.7M)(153.7M)
Depreciation44.7M52.5M57.3M58.3M67.1M47.6M
Other Non Cash Items17.4M35.7M32.6M43.6M50.1M52.6M
Dividends Paid75.2M76.4M77.4M(78.4M)(90.2M)(85.7M)
Capital Expenditures66.2M53.2M54.7M66.0M59.4M46.0M
Net Income96.3M103.6M130.2M119.6M137.5M108.5M
End Period Cash Flow203.2M87.6M64.7M55.6M63.9M60.7M
Change To Netincome21.7M21.2M39.4M33.4M38.4M27.9M
Change Receivables16.3M(5.2M)(23.2M)(74.7M)(85.9M)(81.6M)
Net Borrowings24.1M179.4M79.3M124.7M143.4M150.6M
Investments(217.3M)(142.7M)(50.4M)(60.0M)(54.0M)(56.7M)

Universal Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Universal or Tobacco sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Universal's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Universal stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.58
σ
Overall volatility
1.38
Ir
Information ratio -0.0058

Universal Volatility Alert

Universal exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.89 and kurtosis of 6.07. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Universal's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Universal's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Universal Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Universal's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Universal's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Universal and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Universal or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Universal's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Universal by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Universal to competition
FundamentalsUniversalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0947-0.31
Return On Asset0.0489-0.14
Profit Margin0.04 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.03 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.44 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding24.69 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.13 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions81.78 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted396.27 K4.71 M
Price To Earning22.27 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.93 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.46 X11.42 X
Revenue2.75 B9.43 B
Gross Profit422.21 M27.38 B
EBITDA283.86 M3.9 B
Net Income119.6 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents64.69 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.52 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.06 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.74 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.61 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share57.28 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(74.63 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio3.19 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.87 X3.12 X
Target Price59.0
Number Of Employees10.8 K18.84 K
Beta0.76-0.15
Market Capitalization1.36 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.94 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.17 B9.33 B
Working Capital1.39 B1.48 B
Current Asset1.64 B9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Jacqueline Williams of 2660 shares of Universal subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Universal Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Universal . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Universal Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Universal? Buying financial instruments such as Universal Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Universal in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Global Macro ETFs
Global Macro ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Global Macro ETFs theme has 27 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Global Macro ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Universal Stock Analysis

When running Universal's price analysis, check to measure Universal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Universal is operating at the current time. Most of Universal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Universal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Universal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Universal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.