Us Foods Holding Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

USFD Stock  USD 65.49  1.81  2.84%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding US Foods Holding is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides US Foods buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding US Foods positions.
  
Check out US Foods Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as USFD and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. US Foods Holding. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute US Foods Buy or Sell Advice

The USFD recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on US Foods Holding. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in US Foods Holding or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute US Foods' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell US FoodsBuy US Foods
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon US Foods Holding has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08), Jensen Alpha of (0.05), Total Risk Alpha of 0.0273 and Treynor Ratio of (0.16)
Macroaxis provides unbiased advice on US Foods Holding that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on US Foods. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure US Foods Holding is not overpriced, please validate all US Foods Holding fundamentals, including its revenue, current ratio, and the relationship between the number of shares shorted and cash and equivalents . Given that US Foods Holding has a price to earning of 182.67 X, we advise you to double-check US Foods market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the coming quarters given your latest risk tolerance and investing horizon.

US Foods Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

US Foods Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from investors.com: US Foods Holding Stock Sees Its Composite Rating Rise To 96

US Foods Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of US Foods' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of US Foods' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of US Foods daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use US Foods Holding price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of US Foods returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for US Foods.
Mean Return
-0.13
Value At Risk
-2.64
Potential Upside
1.77
Standard Deviation
1.37
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of US Foods historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

USFD Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-12-31
4.3 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
3.9 M
Ci Investments Inc2024-09-30
3.8 M
Clarkston Capital Partners, Llc2024-12-31
3.7 M
Sachem Head Capital Management Lp2024-12-31
3.6 M
Dorsal Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
3.5 M
Norges Bank2024-12-31
3.1 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
2.6 M
Artisan Partners Limited Partnership2024-12-31
2.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
23.3 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
20.6 M
Note, although US Foods' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

US Foods Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory201M(413M)70M61M(16M)(16.8M)
Change In Cash730M(680M)63M58M(209M)(198.6M)
Free Cash Flow224M145M500M831M833M874.7M
Capital Expenditures189M274M265M309M341M262.5M
Net Income(226M)164M265M506M494M518.7M
End Period Cash Flow828M148M211M269M60M57M
Investments(1.1B)(262M)(255M)(359M)(552M)(579.6M)
Net Borrowings1.2B920M(830M)(417M)(479.6M)(455.6M)
Change To Netincome60M47M92M73M84.0M46.1M
Change Receivables(19M)334M(386M)(240M)(216M)(205.2M)

US Foods Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to US Foods or Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that US Foods' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a USFD stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.89
σ
Overall volatility
1.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

US Foods Volatility Alert

US Foods Holding exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.47 and kurtosis of -0.1. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure US Foods' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact US Foods' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

US Foods Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing US Foods' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze US Foods' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between US Foods and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as US Foods or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of US Foods' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing US Foods by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare US Foods to competition
FundamentalsUS FoodsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.11-0.31
Return On Asset0.0528-0.14
Profit Margin0.01 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.03 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation20.05 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding230.38 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.44 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions99.56 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted5.4 M4.71 M
Price To Earning182.67 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.24 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.40 X11.42 X
Revenue37.88 B9.43 B
Gross Profit6.53 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.4 B3.9 B
Net Income494 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents197 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.88 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.93 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.20 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.37 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share19.64 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.17 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.08 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.02 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.24 X4.89 X
Target Price80.26
Number Of Employees30 K18.84 K
Beta1.65-0.15
Market Capitalization15.09 B19.03 B
Total Asset13.44 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings2 B9.33 B
Working Capital678 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by William Hancock of 7828 shares of US Foods subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

US Foods Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as USFD . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About US Foods Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell US Foods Holding? Buying financial instruments such as USFD Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having US Foods in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Large Growth Funds Thematic Idea Now

Large Growth Funds
Large Growth Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in stocks of large-sized companies with above-average risk and growth rate. The Large Growth Funds theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Large Growth Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether US Foods Holding is a strong investment it is important to analyze US Foods' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact US Foods' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding USFD Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out US Foods Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of US Foods. If investors know USFD will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about US Foods listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.55)
Earnings Share
2.02
Revenue Per Share
157.166
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.062
Return On Assets
0.0528
The market value of US Foods Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of USFD that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of US Foods' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is US Foods' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because US Foods' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect US Foods' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between US Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if US Foods is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, US Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.