Alien Metals (UK) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

UFO Stock   0.09  0.00  0.00%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your bold attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Alien Metals is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Alien Metals buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding UFO positions.
  
Check out Alien Metals Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alien and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Alien Metals. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Alien Metals Buy or Sell Advice

The Alien recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alien Metals. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alien Metals or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alien Metals' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Alien MetalsBuy Alien Metals
Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Alien Metals has a Mean Deviation of 2.62, Standard Deviation of 5.01 and Variance of 25.06
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Alien Metals. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Alien Metals is not overpriced, please confirm all Alien Metals fundamentals, including its total debt and the relationship between the target price and working capital .

Alien Metals Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alien Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Alien Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Alien Metals has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Alien Metals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (3.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Alien Metals generates negative cash flow from operations
About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Alien Metals Secures Shareholder Support at AGM - TipRanks

Alien Metals Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Alien Metals' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alien Metals' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alien Metals daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alien Metals price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alien Metals returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alien Metals.
Mean Return
-0.005
Value At Risk
-8.33
Potential Upside
9.09
Standard Deviation
5.01
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alien Metals historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Alien Metals Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash5.5M804K(4.3M)(1.5M)(1.4M)(1.3M)
Free Cash Flow(1.7M)(4.4M)(6.0M)(4.9M)(5.7M)(6.0M)
Depreciation1K76.0102K52K46.8K43.8K
Other Non Cash Items3K178K(7K)584K671.6K705.2K
Capital Expenditures590K2.7M3.6M1.7M1.6M1.7M
Net Income(1.2M)(2.3M)(2.4M)(3.7M)(4.3M)(4.5M)
End Period Cash Flow5.6M6.4M2.2M676K608.4K578.0K
Change To Netincome290K63K32K268K241.2K229.1K
Investments(593K)40K(3.6M)(1.7M)(1.6M)(1.5M)

Alien Metals Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alien Metals or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alien Metals' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alien stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.56
σ
Overall volatility
4.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.0055

Alien Metals Volatility Alert

Alien Metals exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.32 and kurtosis of 3.64. Alien Metals is a penny stock. Although Alien Metals may be in fact a good investment, many penny stocks are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Alien Metals. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on Alien instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Alien Metals Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Alien Metals' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alien Metals' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alien Metals and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alien Metals or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alien Metals' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alien Metals by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alien Metals to competition
FundamentalsAlien MetalsPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.16-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0865-0.14
Current Valuation6.33 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding7.51 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders17.25 %10.09 %
Price To Book0.47 X9.51 X
EBITDA(2.75 M)3.9 B
Net Income(3.72 M)570.98 M
Total Debt597 K5.32 B
Book Value Per Share0 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(3.21 M)971.22 M
Target Price2.7
Number Of Employees1018.84 K
Beta0.94-0.15
Market Capitalization6.38 M19.03 B
Total Asset18.02 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(67.37 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(386 K)1.48 B
Net Asset18.02 M

Alien Metals Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alien . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Alien Metals Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Alien Metals? Buying financial instruments such as Alien Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Alien Stock

Alien Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alien Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alien with respect to the benefits of owning Alien Metals security.