United Airlines Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

UAL Stock  USD 73.67  3.77  5.39%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding United Airlines Holdings is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of United Airlines' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out United Airlines Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as United and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. United Airlines Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute United Airlines Buy or Sell Advice

The United recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on United Airlines Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in United Airlines Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute United Airlines' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell United AirlinesBuy United Airlines
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon United Airlines Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.12), Jensen Alpha of (0.28), Total Risk Alpha of (0.06) and Treynor Ratio of (0.31)
Macroaxis provides unbiased trade recommendation on United Airlines Holdings that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on United Airlines Holdings. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure United Airlines Holdings is not overpriced, please validate all United Airlines fundamentals, including its current ratio, total asset, and the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that United Airlines Holdings has a price to earning of 8.54 X, we advise you to double-check United Airlines Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

United Airlines Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

United Airlines generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
United Airlines has high historical volatility and very poor performance
United Airlines has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from au.finance.yahoo.com: Acquisition by Isaacson Walter of 695 shares of United Airlines subject to Rule 16b-3

United Airlines Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of United Airlines' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of United Airlines' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of United Airlines daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use United Airlines Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of United Airlines returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for United Airlines.
Mean Return
-0.42
Value At Risk
-5.48
Potential Upside
3.66
Standard Deviation
2.97
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of United Airlines historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

United Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Castle Hook Partners Lp2024-12-31
4.4 M
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-12-31
4.3 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
4.2 M
Amvescap Plc.2024-12-31
3.7 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
3.5 M
Newport Trust Co.2024-12-31
3.5 M
Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc2024-12-31
3.3 M
Senator Investment Group Lp2024-12-31
3.3 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
3.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
36.5 M
Primecap Management Company2024-12-31
22.7 M
Note, although United Airlines' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

United Airlines Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(1.0B)366M(2.8B)(2.4B)(2.2B)(2.0B)
Change In Cash8.9B6.8B(11.1B)(1.1B)2.6B2.7B
Free Cash Flow(5.9B)(40M)1.2B(260M)3.8B4.0B
Depreciation2.3B2.3B2.3B2.7B2.9B3.1B
Other Non Cash Items2.1B2.5B2.9B202M3.4B3.5B
Capital Expenditures1.7B2.1B4.8B7.2B5.6B5.9B
Net Income(7.1B)(2.0B)737M2.6B3.1B3.3B
End Period Cash Flow11.7B18.5B7.4B6.3B8.9B9.4B
Change To Netincome1.1B221M1.5B462M531.3M471.7M
Investments1.8B329M(9.1B)(6.1B)(2.7B)(2.8B)
Change Receivables44M135M(448M)(158M)(142.2M)(135.1M)
Net Borrowings546M11.3B5.9B(3.3B)(3.8B)(3.6B)

United Airlines Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to United Airlines or Passenger Airlines sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that United Airlines' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a United stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.38
σ
Overall volatility
3.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

United Airlines Volatility Alert

United Airlines Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.14 and kurtosis of -0.69. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure United Airlines' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact United Airlines' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

United Airlines Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing United Airlines' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze United Airlines' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between United Airlines and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as United Airlines or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of United Airlines' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing United Airlines by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare United Airlines to competition
FundamentalsUnited AirlinesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.29-0.31
Return On Asset0.0458-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.11 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation43.27 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding327.34 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.53 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions88.73 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted13.38 M4.71 M
Price To Earning8.54 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.90 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.42 X11.42 X
Revenue57.06 B9.43 B
Gross Profit19.53 B27.38 B
EBITDA8.5 B3.9 B
Net Income3.15 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents18.7 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share57.18 X5.01 X
Total Debt33.63 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity7.83 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.03 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share38.66 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations9.45 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.87 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share9.45 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.77 X4.89 X
Target Price125.32
Number Of Employees107.3 K18.84 K
Beta1.41-0.15
Market Capitalization24.12 B19.03 B
Total Asset74.08 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings6.88 B9.33 B
Working Capital(4.43 B)1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Ward Laysha of 736 shares of United Airlines subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

United Airlines Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as United . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About United Airlines Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell United Airlines Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as United Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having United Airlines in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Latest Gainers
Latest Gainers Theme
Dynamically computed list of top equities currently sorted across major exchanges. The Latest Gainers theme has 106 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Latest Gainers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether United Airlines Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze United Airlines' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact United Airlines' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding United Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out United Airlines Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Airlines. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Airlines listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.626
Earnings Share
9.45
Revenue Per Share
173.655
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.078
Return On Assets
0.0458
The market value of United Airlines Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Airlines' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Airlines' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Airlines' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Airlines' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Airlines' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Airlines is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Airlines' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.