Tejon Ranch Co Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| TRC Stock | USD 16.10 0.10 0.63% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Tejon Ranch Co is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Tejon Ranch buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding TRC positions.
Check out Tejon Ranch Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Tejon and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Tejon Ranch Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
Tejon |
Execute Tejon Ranch Buy or Sell Advice
The Tejon recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Tejon Ranch Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Tejon Ranch Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Tejon Ranch's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Tejon Ranch Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Tejon Ranch has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Disposition of 4166 shares by Hugh McMahon of Tejon Ranch at 15.33 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Tejon Ranch Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Tejon Ranch's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Tejon Ranch's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Tejon Ranch daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Tejon Ranch Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Tejon Ranch returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Tejon Ranch.
| Mean Return | 0.03 | Value At Risk | -2.7 | Potential Upside | 3.10 | Standard Deviation | 1.66 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Tejon Ranch historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Tejon Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-12-31 | 315 K | Royce & Associates, Lp | 2024-12-31 | 313.8 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 228 K | Acuitas Investments, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 204.7 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 195.9 K | Gabelli Funds Llc | 2024-12-31 | 144 K | Oppenheimer & Close Inc | 2024-12-31 | 131.7 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 125 K | Cibc World Markets Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 98.2 K | Towerview Llc | 2024-12-31 | 3.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 2.1 M |
Tejon Ranch Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 28.2M | (17.9M) | 2.2M | (7.2M) | 7.4M | 7.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (10.3M) | (20.5M) | (15.1M) | (13.7M) | 14.3M | 15.0M | |
| Depreciation | 4.9M | 4.6M | 4.6M | 4.8M | 4.9M | 3.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.1M | (12.4M) | (19.5M) | 5.8M | (1.4M) | (1.5M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 25.8M | 23.3M | 23.6M | 27.4M | 66.1M | 69.4M | |
| Net Income | (747K) | 5.3M | 15.8M | 3.3M | 2.7M | 3.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 55.3M | 37.4M | 39.6M | 32.4M | 39.8M | 41.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.5M | 7.2M | (7.0M) | 4.6M | 5.3M | 3.0M | |
| Investments | 35.8M | (5.5M) | (10.2M) | (3.3M) | (25.7M) | (24.5M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (4.0M) | (4.8M) | (4.3M) | (2.8M) | (2.5M) | (2.4M) |
Tejon Ranch Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Tejon Ranch or Residential REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Tejon Ranch's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Tejon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Tejon Ranch Volatility Alert
Tejon Ranch Co has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.21 and kurtosis of 0.29. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Tejon Ranch's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Tejon Ranch's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Tejon Ranch Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Tejon Ranch's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Tejon Ranch's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Tejon Ranch and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Tejon Ranch or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Tejon Ranch's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tejon Ranch by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Tejon Ranch to competition |
| Fundamentals | Tejon Ranch | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0055 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.01 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.11 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 442.93 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 26.86 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 8.33 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 62.37 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 509.83 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 28.19 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.91 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 10.32 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 41.89 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.89 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (9.2 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 2.69 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 39.12 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.72 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 66.94 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.11 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 5.12 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 17.66 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 14.31 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.29 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.10 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 26.25 | |
| Number Of Employees | 82 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.6 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 432.38 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 608 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 111.6 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 52.61 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 48.89 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 1611 shares by Allen Lyda of Tejon Ranch at 15.9 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Tejon Ranch Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Tejon . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Tejon Ranch Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Tejon Ranch Co? Buying financial instruments such as Tejon Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Check out Tejon Ranch Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Multi-Family Residential REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tejon Ranch. If investors know Tejon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tejon Ranch listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.856 | Earnings Share 0.1 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.109 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Tejon Ranch is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tejon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tejon Ranch's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tejon Ranch's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tejon Ranch's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tejon Ranch's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tejon Ranch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tejon Ranch is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tejon Ranch's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.