Tempur Sealy International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TPX Stock  USD 55.81  0.22  0.39%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Tempur Sealy International is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Tempur Sealy International given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Tempur Sealy. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Tempur Sealy International, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Tempur Sealy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Tempur and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Tempur Sealy International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute Tempur Sealy Buy or Sell Advice

The Tempur recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Tempur Sealy International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Tempur Sealy International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Tempur Sealy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Tempur SealyBuy Tempur Sealy
Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Tempur Sealy International has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0544, Jensen Alpha of (0), Total Risk Alpha of (0.19), Sortino Ratio of (0.01) and Treynor Ratio of 0.1163
Our recommendation module provides unbiased trade recommendation that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on Tempur Sealy International. Our recommendation engine provides an advice for the company potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Tempur Sealy Interna is not overpriced, please validate all Tempur Sealy fundamentals, including its net income, book value per share, and the relationship between the revenue and total debt . Given that Tempur Sealy Interna has a price to earning of 15.83 X, we advise you to double-check Tempur Sealy International market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Tempur Sealy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Tempur Sealy International, Inc. Among the Stocks in Billionaire David Abrams Portfolio

Tempur Sealy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Tempur Sealy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Tempur Sealy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Tempur Sealy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Tempur Sealy International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Tempur Sealy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Tempur Sealy.
Mean Return
0.12
Value At Risk
-1.87
Potential Upside
3.72
Standard Deviation
1.89
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Tempur Sealy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Tempur Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Tempur Sealy, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tempur Sealy International back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
3.6 M
Beutel, Goodman & Company Ltd.2024-09-30
3.3 M
London Company Of Virginia2024-06-30
M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
2.4 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
2.2 M
Steadfast Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
2.1 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
1.8 M
Eminence Capital Llc2024-09-30
1.8 M
Select Equity Group Lp2024-09-30
21.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
16.1 M
Note, although Tempur Sealy's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Tempur Sealy Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash19.1M100K235.7M(231.3M)5.5M2.8M
Free Cash Flow224.6M543.4M599.8M72.3M384.9M404.1M
Other Non Cash Items31.9M42M3M12.7M12.6M14.6M
Capital Expenditures88.2M111.3M123.3M306.5M185.4M194.7M
Net Income190.8M349.8M625M458.2M368.1M386.5M
End Period Cash Flow64.9M65M300.7M69.4M74.9M70.2M
Change To Inventory(28.2M)(42.5M)(106.4M)(101.9M)75.8M79.6M
Depreciation89.7M98M113.2M127.1M135.3M71.5M
Dividends Paid13.4M19.3M63.1M70.5M77.7M95.8M
Change Receivables(76M)(55.7M)(40.4M)(14.8M)(13.3M)(14.0M)
Net Borrowings1.2B(185.8M)954.4M474.5M545.7M777.2M
Change To Netincome50.6M135M72.7M51.4M59.1M36.0M
Investments(90.2M)(146.6M)(554.8M)(315.3M)(243.3M)(255.5M)

Tempur Sealy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Tempur Sealy or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Tempur Sealy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Tempur stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0039
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.94
σ
Overall volatility
1.92
Ir
Information ratio -0.0056

Tempur Sealy Volatility Alert

Tempur Sealy International has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.93 and kurtosis of 5.35. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Tempur Sealy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Tempur Sealy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Tempur Sealy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Tempur Sealy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Tempur Sealy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Tempur Sealy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Tempur Sealy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Tempur Sealy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tempur Sealy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Tempur Sealy to competition
FundamentalsTempur SealyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.98-0.31
Return On Asset0.0839-0.14
Profit Margin0.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.16 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation12.58 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding173.65 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.95 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions97.05 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted7.18 M4.71 M
Price To Earning15.83 X28.72 X
Price To Book17.24 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.99 X11.42 X
Revenue4.93 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.06 B27.38 B
EBITDA739.3 M3.9 B
Net Income368.1 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents69.4 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.64 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.27 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity9.70 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.24 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.25 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations570.3 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.74 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.19 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.06 X4.89 X
Target Price61.75
Number Of Employees12 K18.84 K
Beta1.6-0.15
Market Capitalization9.73 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.55 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings3.28 B9.33 B
Working Capital195 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 2327 shares by Thomas Murray of Tempur Sealy subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Tempur Sealy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Tempur . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Tempur Sealy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Tempur Sealy International? Buying financial instruments such as Tempur Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Tempur Stock Analysis

When running Tempur Sealy's price analysis, check to measure Tempur Sealy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tempur Sealy is operating at the current time. Most of Tempur Sealy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tempur Sealy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tempur Sealy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tempur Sealy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.