Texas Pacific Land Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| TPL Stock | USD 1,388 182.01 11.59% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Texas Pacific Land is 'Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Texas Pacific's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Texas Pacific Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Texas and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Texas Pacific Land. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
Texas |
Execute Texas Pacific Buy or Sell Advice
The Texas recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Texas Pacific Land. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Texas Pacific Land or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Texas Pacific's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | Strong | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Texas Pacific Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Texas Pacific Land appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Texas Pacific Land Corp Stock Price Down 4.66 percent on Dec 2 |
Texas Pacific Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Texas Pacific's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Texas Pacific's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Texas Pacific daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Texas Pacific Land price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Texas Pacific returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Texas Pacific.
| Mean Return | 0.95 | Value At Risk | -5.8 | Potential Upside | 4.64 | Standard Deviation | 3.16 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Texas Pacific historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Texas Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Pacific Heights Asset Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 165 K | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-09-30 | 148.7 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 136.7 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 136.4 K | Douglass Winthrop Advisors, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 99.2 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-09-30 | 98.7 K | Mrm-horizon Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 97.8 K | California State Teachers Retirement Sys | 2024-09-30 | 87.8 K | Neuberger Berman Group Llc | 2024-09-30 | 86.2 K | Horizon Asset Management Inc/ny | 2024-09-30 | 3.7 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 2.2 M |
Texas Pacific Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 180.2M | (20.6M) | 145.2M | 88.9M | 213.4M | 224.0M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 305.6M | 185.0M | 249.6M | 426.3M | 378.3M | 397.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (13.1M) | 13.0M | 16.3M | 53.0M | 64.3M | 67.5M | |
| Dividends Paid | 46.5M | 201.7M | 85.3M | 247.3M | 100.0M | 105.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 37.2M | 22.0M | 15.5M | 20.9M | 40.0M | 42.0M | |
| Net Income | 318.7M | 176.0M | 270.0M | 446.4M | 405.6M | 425.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 303.6M | 283.0M | 428.2M | 517.2M | 730.5M | 767.1M | |
| Depreciation | 8.9M | 14.4M | 16.3M | 15.4M | 14.8M | 15.5M | |
| Change To Netincome | 25.9M | (3.5M) | 248K | 9.7M | 11.1M | 11.7M | |
| Investments | (111.7M) | (26.0M) | (15.0M) | (21.4M) | (62.7M) | (65.9M) |
Texas Pacific Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Texas Pacific or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Texas Pacific's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Texas stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.81 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.27 |
Texas Pacific Volatility Alert
Texas Pacific Land shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Texas Pacific's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Texas Pacific's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Texas Pacific Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Texas Pacific's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Texas Pacific's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Texas Pacific and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Texas Pacific or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Texas Pacific's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Texas Pacific by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Texas Pacific to competition |
| Fundamentals | Texas Pacific | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.45 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.29 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.65 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.73 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 33.75 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 22.97 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.82 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 67.72 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.2 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 45.55 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 34.28 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 52.53 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 631.6 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 649.9 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 500.81 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 405.64 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 510.83 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 57.97 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.17 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 13.51 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 45.79 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 418.29 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 12.75 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 19.47 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 565.13 | |
| Number Of Employees | 100 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.59 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 36.07 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.16 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.17 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 799.4 M | 1.48 B |
| Annual Yield | 0 % |
Note: Acquisition by Horizon Kinetics Asset Management Llc of tradable shares of Texas Pacific at 1536.54 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Texas Pacific Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Texas . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 46898.08 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.80) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.88 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1451.24 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1430.13 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 7.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (154.32) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (182.01) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 83.18 |
About Texas Pacific Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Texas Pacific Land? Buying financial instruments such as Texas Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Texas Pacific Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Texas Pacific. If investors know Texas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Texas Pacific listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.011 | Dividend Share 4.603 | Earnings Share 19.47 | Revenue Per Share 29.861 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.099 |
The market value of Texas Pacific Land is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Texas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Texas Pacific's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Texas Pacific's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Texas Pacific's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Texas Pacific's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Texas Pacific's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Texas Pacific is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Texas Pacific's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.