Tri Pointe Homes Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| TPH Stock | USD 31.54 0.39 1.25% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding TRI Pointe Homes is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of TRI Pointe's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out TRI Pointe Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as TRI and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards TRI Pointe Homes. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
TRI |
Execute TRI Pointe Buy or Sell Advice
The TRI recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on TRI Pointe Homes. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in TRI Pointe Homes or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute TRI Pointe's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
TRI Pointe Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| TRI Pointe Homes generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: OFI Invest Asset Management Acquires New Position in Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. - MarketBeat |
TRI Pointe Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of TRI Pointe's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of TRI Pointe's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of TRI Pointe daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use TRI Pointe Homes price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of TRI Pointe returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for TRI Pointe.
| Mean Return | -0.39 | Value At Risk | -3.26 | Potential Upside | 3.08 | Standard Deviation | 2.26 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of TRI Pointe historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
TRI Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 1.3 M | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2024-12-31 | 1.2 M | Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 1.2 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.2 M | William Blair Investment Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1 M | Assenagon Asset Management Sa | 2024-12-31 | 903.5 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 17 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 11.6 M |
TRI Pointe Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 157.1M | (161.0M) | (123.1M) | (172.7M) | 182.7M | 191.9M | |
| Change In Cash | 292.3M | 60.2M | 208.1M | (20.7M) | 101.1M | 77.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 565.2M | 390.0M | 400.7M | 169.9M | 672.8M | 706.4M | |
| Depreciation | 29.5M | 32.4M | 28.0M | 26.9M | 31.0M | 18.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 22.8M | 29.5M | 43.6M | 25.4M | 23.3M | 17.5M | |
| Net Income | 282.2M | 469.3M | 582.4M | 349.2M | 458.0M | 259.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 621.3M | 681.5M | 889.7M | 869.0M | 970.0M | 1.0B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 15.1M | 20.4M | 10.6M | 14.3M | 181.5M | 190.6M | |
| Change Receivables | (17.7M) | 5.7M | (53.4M) | (52.5M) | (47.2M) | (44.8M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 400M | 45.4M | (12.0M) | 34.5M | 31.1M | 29.5M | |
| Dividends Paid | 449K | 3.1M | 5.6M | 896K | 806.4K | 766.1K | |
| Change To Netincome | 57.5M | 34.3M | 31.8M | 51.7M | 59.4M | 39.8M | |
| Investments | (65.3M) | (42.6M) | (58.1M) | (26.4M) | (63.5M) | (60.3M) |
TRI Pointe Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to TRI Pointe or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that TRI Pointe's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a TRI stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.96 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
TRI Pointe Volatility Alert
TRI Pointe Homes exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.4 and kurtosis of 5.85. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure TRI Pointe's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact TRI Pointe's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.TRI Pointe Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing TRI Pointe's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze TRI Pointe's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between TRI Pointe and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as TRI Pointe or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of TRI Pointe's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TRI Pointe by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare TRI Pointe to competition |
| Fundamentals | TRI Pointe | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0741 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.10 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.99 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 91.73 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.68 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 97.32 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 7.26 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.86 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.64 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.42 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.06 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 607.88 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 457.97 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 889.66 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.66 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.1 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.57 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 13.73 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 36.08 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 696.06 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.10 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 4.83 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.76 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 40.17 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.75 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.71 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.89 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.89 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 3.33 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 4.04 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 20 shares by David Lee of TRI Pointe at 30.79 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
TRI Pointe Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as TRI . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About TRI Pointe Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell TRI Pointe Homes? Buying financial instruments such as TRI Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having TRI Pointe in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out TRI Pointe Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TRI Pointe. If investors know TRI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TRI Pointe listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.005 | Earnings Share 4.83 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets |
The market value of TRI Pointe Homes is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TRI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TRI Pointe's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TRI Pointe's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TRI Pointe's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TRI Pointe's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TRI Pointe's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TRI Pointe is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TRI Pointe's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.