Toys R (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| TOY Stock | 0.04 0 4.88% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Toys R Us is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Toys R Us given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Toys R Us, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Toys R Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Toys and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Toys R Us. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Toys |
Execute Toys R Buy or Sell Advice
The Toys recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Toys R Us. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Toys R Us or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Toys R's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Out of control | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves totally opposite to the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Toys R Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Toys R Us generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Toys R Us has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Toys R Us has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Toys R Us has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 7.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.04 M. | |
| Toys R generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Toys R Us CEO Penny Cox resigns - Inside Retail Australia |
Toys R Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Toys R's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Toys R's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Toys R daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Toys R Us price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Toys R returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Toys R.
| Mean Return | -0.4 | Value At Risk | -8.47 | Potential Upside | 7.69 | Standard Deviation | 5.03 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Toys R historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Toys R Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (98K) | 17.0M | (4.8M) | (10.8M) | (1.1M) | (1.0M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (2.8M) | (5.6M) | (11.9M) | (13.4M) | (7.5M) | (7.2M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 77K | 1.7M | 1.0M | 1.0M | 5K | 4.8K | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 367K | 17.3M | 12.5M | 1.8M | 708K | 672.6K | |
| Change To Inventory | 3.7M | (1.6M) | (3.8M) | 2.8M | 6.8M | 7.1M | |
| Depreciation | 320K | 863K | 1.6M | 2.9M | 3.0M | 1.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (5.6M) | 928K | 20.0M | 8.6M | (7.2M) | (6.9M) | |
| Net Income | (1.9M) | (5.1M) | (24.3M) | (25.3M) | (11.5M) | (12.1M) | |
| Investments | (74K) | 743K | (3.6M) | (137K) | (354K) | (371.7K) | |
| Net Borrowings | 2.6M | (6.4M) | 9.7M | 1.9M | 2.2M | 2.0M | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.8M | 209K | 15.2M | 13.6M | 15.7M | 16.4M |
Toys R Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Toys R or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Toys R's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Toys stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.4 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Toys R Volatility Alert
Toys R Us exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.61 and kurtosis of 1.65. Toys R Us is a penny stock. Although Toys R may be in fact a good investment, many penny stocks are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Toys R Us. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on Toys instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.Toys R Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Toys R's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Toys R's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Toys R and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Toys R or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Toys R's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Toys R by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Toys R to competition |
| Fundamentals | Toys R | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -2.74 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.23 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (2.53) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 2.44 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 29.71 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 151.26 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 65.47 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 6.66 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 0.48 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.87 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 7.67 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.04 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (6.87 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (11.5 M) | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 24.52 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | (0.13) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (7.54 M) | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.11) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 0.13 | |
| Beta | 0.67 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 6.66 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 18.02 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (311.27 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (21.19 M) | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 18.02 M |
Toys R Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Toys . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Toys R Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Toys R Us? Buying financial instruments such as Toys Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Toys R in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Recreation Thematic Idea Now
Recreation
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Recreation theme has 34 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Recreation Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Toys Stock Analysis
When running Toys R's price analysis, check to measure Toys R's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Toys R is operating at the current time. Most of Toys R's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Toys R's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Toys R's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Toys R to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.