Target Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TGT Stock  USD 104.70  0.20  0.19%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Target is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Target given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Target, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Target Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Target Stock please use our How to Invest in Target guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Target and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Target. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Target Buy or Sell Advice

The Target recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Target. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Target or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Target's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell TargetBuy Target
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Target has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.17), Jensen Alpha of (0.26), Total Risk Alpha of (0.13) and Treynor Ratio of (0.49)
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Target to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Target. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Target is not overpriced, please validate all Target fundamentals, including its ebitda, target price, last dividend paid, as well as the relationship between the current ratio and working capital . Given that Target has a price to earning of 22.82 X, we advise you to double-check Target market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Target Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Target generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Target has 5.22 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.77, which is OK given its current industry classification. Target has a current ratio of 0.84, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Target to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 84.0% of Target shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from cnbc.com: Disposition of 350 shares by Matthew Liegel of Target at 106.02 subject to Rule 16b-3

Target current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Target analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Target analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Target Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Target's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Target's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Target daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Target price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Target returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Target.
Mean Return
-0.33
Value At Risk
-2.92
Potential Upside
2.58
Standard Deviation
1.64
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Target historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Target Stock Institutional Investors

The Target's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Target's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Norges Bank2024-12-31
5.6 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
5.4 M
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
5.1 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-12-31
4.8 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-12-31
M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
3.9 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
3.8 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-12-31
3.8 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
3.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
45 M
State Street Corp2024-12-31
35.4 M
Note, although Target's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Target Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(1.7B)(3.2B)403M1.6B(854M)(811.3M)
Change In Cash5.9B(2.6B)(3.7B)1.6B957M1.0B
Free Cash Flow7.9B5.1B(1.5B)3.8B7.4B7.7B
Depreciation2.5B2.6B2.7B2.8B3.0B1.7B
Other Non Cash Items598M(268M)172M94M26M24.7M
Dividends Paid1.3B1.5B1.8B2.0B2.0B2.1B
Capital Expenditures2.6B3.5B5.5B4.8B2.9B2.8B
Net Income4.4B6.9B2.8B4.1B4.1B2.4B
End Period Cash Flow8.5B5.9B2.2B3.8B4.8B5.0B
Net Borrowings(330M)65M825M2.5B2.8B3.0B
Change To Netincome382M614M482M974M1.1B1.2B
Investments16M7M(5.5B)(4.8B)(2.9B)(2.7B)

Target Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Target or Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Target's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Target stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.70
σ
Overall volatility
1.67
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Target Volatility Alert

Target exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.05 and kurtosis of 0.1. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Target's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Target's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Target Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Target's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Target's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Target and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Target or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Target's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Target by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Target to competition
FundamentalsTargetPeer Average
Return On Equity0.29-0.31
Return On Asset0.0634-0.14
Profit Margin0.04 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.05 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation62.72 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding455.58 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.23 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions83.64 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted11.52 M4.71 M
Price To Earning22.82 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.25 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.45 X11.42 X
Revenue106.57 B9.43 B
Gross Profit30.06 B27.38 B
EBITDA5.57 B3.9 B
Net Income4.09 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.23 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.19 X5.01 X
Total Debt5.22 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.77 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.86 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share32.19 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations7.37 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.09 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share8.86 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.44 X4.89 X
Target Price136.36
Number Of Employees440 K18.84 K
Beta1.18-0.15
Market Capitalization47.7 B19.03 B
Total Asset57.77 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings8.09 B9.33 B
Working Capital(1.34 B)1.48 B
Note: Discretionary transaction by Richard Gomez of tradable shares of Target subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Target Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Target . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Target Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Target? Buying financial instruments such as Target Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Target in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Hybrid Mix Funds Thematic Idea Now

Hybrid Mix Funds
Hybrid Mix Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that are made of portfolios of stocks, bonds, or cash instruments with different maturity horizons and characteristics. The Hybrid Mix Funds theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Hybrid Mix Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Target Stock Analysis

When running Target's price analysis, check to measure Target's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Target is operating at the current time. Most of Target's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Target's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Target's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Target to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.