Tredegar Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TG Stock  USD 7.96  0.06  0.75%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Tredegar is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Tredegar buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Tredegar positions.
  
Check out Tredegar Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Tredegar Stock please use our How to Invest in Tredegar guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Tredegar and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Tredegar. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Tredegar Buy or Sell Advice

The Tredegar recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Tredegar. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Tredegar or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Tredegar's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell TredegarBuy Tredegar
Strong Buy

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Tredegar has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0971, Jensen Alpha of 0.201, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1923, Sortino Ratio of 0.1074 and Treynor Ratio of 0.3479
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Tredegar. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Tredegar is not overpriced, please validate all Tredegar fundamentals, including its total debt, market capitalization, and the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Given that Tredegar has a price to earning of 5.78 X, we advise you to double-check Tredegar market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Tredegar Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company generated the yearly revenue of 704.83 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (105.91 M) with gross profit of 139.64 M.
About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Gregory Pratt of 5619 shares of Tredegar at 5.45 subject to Rule 16b-3

Tredegar Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Tredegar's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Tredegar's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Tredegar daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Tredegar price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Tredegar returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Tredegar.
Mean Return
0.21
Value At Risk
-2.37
Potential Upside
2.82
Standard Deviation
1.72
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Tredegar historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Tredegar Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
240.7 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
233.1 K
Castleknight Management Lp2024-12-31
214.3 K
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-12-31
192.2 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
187.1 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-12-31
139.4 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-09-30
136.5 K
Barclays Plc2024-12-31
135.2 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
129.3 K
Gamco Investors, Inc. Et Al2024-12-31
5.6 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-12-31
2.9 M
Note, although Tredegar's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Tredegar Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash(19.6M)18.7M(11.3M)(5.8M)(6.6M)(7.0M)
Free Cash Flow51.0M43.2M(57.7M)(2.5M)(2.8M)(2.7M)
Depreciation32.0M23.8M26.4M27.7M31.8M37.0M
Other Non Cash Items(5.4M)(1.6M)(34.5M)118.0M135.7M142.5M
Capital Expenditures23.4M27.4M36.9M26.4M23.8M34.9M
Net Income(75.4M)57.8M28.5M(105.9M)(95.3M)(90.5M)
End Period Cash Flow11.8M30.5M19.2M13.5M15.5M14.7M
Change To Inventory(4.4M)(23.1M)(37.8M)47.6M42.8M45.0M
Dividends Paid216.0M16.2M17.0M8.9M10.2M18.5M
Change Receivables16.5M(335K)(17.0M)18.6M21.4M22.4M
Net Borrowings65.5M92M75.5M62.8M72.2M75.8M
Change To Netincome(4.8M)124.9M29.4M(31.0M)(35.7M)(33.9M)
Investments32.9M47.1M1.4M(33.3M)(38.3M)(40.3M)

Tredegar Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Tredegar or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Tredegar's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Tredegar stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.59
σ
Overall volatility
1.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Tredegar Volatility Alert

Tredegar has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.47 and kurtosis of 0.83. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Tredegar's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Tredegar's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Tredegar Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Tredegar's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Tredegar's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Tredegar and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Tredegar or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Tredegar's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tredegar by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Tredegar to competition
FundamentalsTredegarPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.18-0.31
Return On Asset0.0281-0.14
Profit Margin(0.04) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.01 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation432.04 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding34.24 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders23.32 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions60.43 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted189.94 K4.71 M
Price To Earning5.78 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.73 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.38 X11.42 X
Revenue704.83 M9.43 B
Gross Profit139.64 M27.38 B
EBITDA(118.52 M)3.9 B
Net Income(105.91 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents19.23 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.82 X5.01 X
Total Debt159.37 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.55 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.36 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.69 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations24 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.91 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.80) X3.12 X
Target Price17.0
Number Of Employees1.9 K18.84 K
Beta0.84-0.15
Market Capitalization240.04 M19.03 B
Total Asset446.46 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings177.98 M9.33 B
Working Capital(72.43 M)1.48 B
Current Asset211 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Gregory Pratt of 5619 shares of Tredegar at 5.45 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Tredegar Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Tredegar . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Tredegar Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Tredegar? Buying financial instruments such as Tredegar Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Tredegar in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Printing and Publishing Thematic Idea Now

Printing and Publishing
Printing and Publishing Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Printing and Publishing theme has 20 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Printing and Publishing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Tredegar Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more detail on how to invest in Tredegar Stock please use our How to Invest in Tredegar guide.
You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Commodity Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tredegar. If investors know Tredegar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tredegar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.83)
Earnings Share
(0.80)
Revenue Per Share
20.887
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.095
Return On Assets
0.0281
The market value of Tredegar is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tredegar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tredegar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tredegar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tredegar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tredegar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tredegar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tredegar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tredegar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.