Talos Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TALO Stock  USD 10.40  0.19  1.86%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Talos Energy is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Talos Energy's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Talos Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Talos Stock, please use our How to Invest in Talos Energy guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Talos and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Talos Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Talos Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The Talos recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Talos Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Talos Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Talos Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Talos EnergyBuy Talos Energy
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ExcitedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Talos Energy has a Mean Deviation of 2.08, Standard Deviation of 2.67 and Variance of 7.12
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Talos Energy and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Talos Energy is not overpriced, please validate all Talos Energy fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, working capital, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and number of employees . Given that Talos Energy has a number of shares shorted of 13.21 M, we advise you to double-check Talos Energy market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Talos Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Talos Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Talos Energy currently holds 1.2 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.93, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Talos Energy has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Talos Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Talos Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 79.0% of Talos Energy shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Verition Fund Management LLC Raises Stake in Talos Energy Inc. - MarketBeat

Talos Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Talos Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Talos Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Talos Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Talos Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Talos Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Talos Energy.
Mean Return
-0.04
Value At Risk
-4.37
Potential Upside
3.81
Standard Deviation
2.67
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Talos Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Talos Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Talos Energy, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Talos Energy back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Invesco Senior Secured Management Inc2024-09-30
2.7 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
M
Victory Capital Management Inc.2024-09-30
1.8 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-09-30
1.8 M
Encompass Capital Advisors Llc2024-09-30
1.8 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
1.6 M
Bnp Paribas Investment Partners Sa2024-09-30
1.6 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-09-30
1.5 M
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.5 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
23.9 M
Bain Capital Credit2024-09-30
14.7 M
Note, although Talos Energy's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Talos Energy Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory29.4M(50.6M)40.1M45.9M52.8M55.4M
Change In Cash(54.1M)(52.8M)35.6M(25.7M)(10.5M)(10.0M)
Net Borrowings60.3M267.1M(43.1M)(418.7M)(376.8M)(358.0M)
Free Cash Flow(69.7M)(61.0M)118.1M386.6M(54.7M)(52.0M)
Depreciation380.3M414.1M454.1M470.6M749.7M409.2M
Other Non Cash Items(78.9M)106.8M(344.8M)(220.9M)(264.9M)(251.7M)
Capital Expenditures463.4M362.9M293.3M323.2M573.8M388.1M
Net Income58.7M(465.6M)(183.0M)381.9M187.3M196.7M
End Period Cash Flow87.0M34.2M69.9M44.1M33.6M61.3M
Change To Netincome30.5M287.9M108.2M(219.4M)(197.4M)(187.6M)
Investments(496.0M)(678.9M)(293.7M)(312.0M)(505.2M)(530.5M)

Talos Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Talos Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Talos Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Talos stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
2.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Talos Energy Volatility Alert

Talos Energy exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.37 and kurtosis of 0.82. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Talos Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Talos Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Talos Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Talos Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Talos Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Talos Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Talos Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Talos Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Talos Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Talos Energy to competition
FundamentalsTalos EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0303-0.31
Return On Asset0.0221-0.14
Profit Margin0.04 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.27 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.16 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding179.96 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders25.27 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions78.76 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted13.21 M4.71 M
Price To Earning4.24 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.65 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.99 X11.42 X
Revenue1.46 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.34 B27.38 B
EBITDA931.38 M3.9 B
Net Income187.33 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents108.48 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.31 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.2 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.93 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.68 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share15.66 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations519.07 M971.22 M
Short Ratio7.54 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.63 X3.12 X
Target Price16.14
Number Of Employees60018.84 K
Beta1.93-0.15
Market Capitalization1.84 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.82 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(347.72 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(156.44 M)1.48 B
Net Asset4.82 B
Note: Disposition of tradable shares by John Spath of Talos Energy at 11.17 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Talos Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Talos . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Talos Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Talos Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Talos Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Talos Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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When determining whether Talos Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Talos Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Talos Energy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Talos Energy Stock:
Check out Talos Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Talos Stock, please use our How to Invest in Talos Energy guide.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Talos Energy. If investors know Talos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Talos Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.38)
Earnings Share
0.63
Revenue Per Share
11.579
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.331
Return On Assets
0.0221
The market value of Talos Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Talos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Talos Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Talos Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Talos Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Talos Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Talos Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Talos Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Talos Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.