Tal Education Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TAL Stock  USD 13.30  0.50  3.91%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding TAL Education Group is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of TAL Education's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out TAL Education Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as TAL and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. TAL Education Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute TAL Education Buy or Sell Advice

The TAL recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on TAL Education Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in TAL Education Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute TAL Education's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell TAL EducationBuy TAL Education
Strong Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon TAL Education Group has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1123, Jensen Alpha of 0.6065, Total Risk Alpha of 0.9925, Sortino Ratio of 0.1806 and Treynor Ratio of 0.4151
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on TAL Education and to analyze the company potential to grow next year. To make sure TAL Education Group is not overpriced, please validate all TAL Education fundamentals, including its gross profit, short ratio, current asset, as well as the relationship between the total debt and beta . Given that TAL Education Group has a price to book of 2.13 X, we advise you to double-check TAL Education Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself next year given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

TAL Education Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

TAL Education Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.49 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (3.57 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.11 B.
About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: TAL Education Group is favoured by institutional owners who hold 48 percent of the company

TAL Education Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of TAL Education's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of TAL Education's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of TAL Education daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use TAL Education Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of TAL Education returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for TAL Education.
Mean Return
0.49
Value At Risk
-4.75
Potential Upside
5.92
Standard Deviation
4.09
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of TAL Education historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

TAL Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Norges Bank2024-12-31
7.2 M
Macquarie Group Ltd2024-12-31
M
Tt International Asset Management Ltd2024-12-31
4.9 M
Millennium Management Llc2024-12-31
4.4 M
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
M
Manufacturers Life Insurance Co2024-12-31
M
Fenghe Fund Management Pte. Ltd.2024-12-31
3.9 M
Discerene Group Lp2024-12-31
3.7 M
Greenwoods Asset Management Hong Kong Ltd.2024-12-31
3.3 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
27.4 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
20.4 M
Note, although TAL Education's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

TAL Education Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to TAL Education or Diversified Consumer Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that TAL Education's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a TAL stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.61
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.16
σ
Overall volatility
4.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

TAL Education Volatility Alert

TAL Education Group shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure TAL Education's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact TAL Education's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

TAL Education Implied Volatility

TAL Education's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of TAL Education Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if TAL Education's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that TAL Education stock will not fluctuate a lot when TAL Education's options are near their expiration.

TAL Education Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing TAL Education's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze TAL Education's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between TAL Education and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as TAL Education or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of TAL Education's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TAL Education by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare TAL Education to competition
FundamentalsTAL EducationPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0323-0.31
Return On Asset2.0E-4-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.03) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.58 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding458.14 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions64.30 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted42.35 M4.71 M
Price To Book2.13 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.88 X11.42 X
Revenue1.49 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.11 B27.38 B
EBITDA42.59 M3.9 B
Net Income(3.57 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.02 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.86 X5.01 X
Total Debt239.22 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.04 %48.70 %
Current Ratio4.59 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share6.23 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations306.17 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.17 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.19 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.71 X4.89 X
Target Price14.98
Number Of Employees15 K18.84 K
Beta0.056-0.15
Market Capitalization8.04 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.93 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(694.27 M)9.33 B
Working Capital2.62 B1.48 B
Current Asset184.92 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities552.58 M7.9 B
Note: Disposition of 1500 shares by Valentine Kevin of TAL Education at 37.5 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

TAL Education Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as TAL . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About TAL Education Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell TAL Education Group? Buying financial instruments such as TAL Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having TAL Education in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Small Growth Funds Thematic Idea Now

Small Growth Funds
Small Growth Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in stocks of small to mid-sized companies with above-average risk and growth rate that usually reinvest their earnings back into business. The Small Growth Funds theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Small Growth Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether TAL Education Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze TAL Education's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact TAL Education's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding TAL Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out TAL Education Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TAL Education. If investors know TAL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TAL Education listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.481
Earnings Share
0.19
Revenue Per Share
3.422
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.624
Return On Assets
0.0002
The market value of TAL Education Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TAL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TAL Education's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TAL Education's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TAL Education's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TAL Education's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TAL Education's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TAL Education is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TAL Education's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.