Steel Dynamics Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

STLD Stock  USD 133.48  0.33  0.25%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Steel Dynamics is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Steel Dynamics buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding STLD positions.
  
Check out Steel Dynamics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Steel Stock refer to our How to Trade Steel Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Steel and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Steel Dynamics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Steel Dynamics Buy or Sell Advice

The Steel recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Steel Dynamics. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Steel Dynamics or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Steel Dynamics' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Steel DynamicsBuy Steel Dynamics
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Steel Dynamics has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), Jensen Alpha of (0.07), Total Risk Alpha of (0.08) and Treynor Ratio of (0.06)
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Steel Dynamics to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Steel Dynamics. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Steel Dynamics is not overpriced, please validate all Steel Dynamics fundamentals, including its net income, short ratio, and the relationship between the price to sales and debt to equity . Given that Steel Dynamics has a price to earning of 4.60 X, we advise you to double-check Steel Dynamics market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Steel Dynamics Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Steel Dynamics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 10th of January 2025 Steel Dynamics paid $ 0.46 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Disposition of 660 shares by Miguel Alvarez of Steel Dynamics at 133.15 subject to Rule 16b-3

Steel Dynamics Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Steel Dynamics' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Steel Dynamics' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Steel Dynamics daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Steel Dynamics price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Steel Dynamics returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Steel Dynamics.
Mean Return
-0.05
Value At Risk
-2.78
Potential Upside
4.13
Standard Deviation
1.97
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Steel Dynamics historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Steel Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
2.5 M
Royal London Asset Management Ltd2024-12-31
2.1 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-09-30
2.1 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-12-31
M
Fmr Inc2024-12-31
1.8 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
1.8 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
1.7 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-12-31
1.5 M
Thrivent Financial For Lutherans2024-12-31
1.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
18.3 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
11.9 M
Note, although Steel Dynamics' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Steel Dynamics Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(150.6M)(1.7B)413.3M232.3M209.1M219.5M
Change In Cash(13.3M)(124.8M)384.6M(227.5M)(261.6M)(248.5M)
Free Cash Flow(211.0M)1.2B3.6B1.9B2.1B2.2B
Depreciation325.8M347.7M384.2M437.8M503.5M528.6M
Other Non Cash Items50.4M(3.2M)(1.8M)(3.3M)(3.8M)(3.6M)
Capital Expenditures1.2B1.0B908.9M1.7B1.9B2.0B
Net Income570.8M3.2B3.9B2.5B2.8B3.0B
End Period Cash Flow1.4B1.2B1.6B1.4B1.6B1.7B
Dividends Paid209.2M213.0M237.2M271.3M312.0M327.6M
Change To Netincome100.8M153.8M409.2M111.4M128.2M148.1M
Change Receivables(145.9M)237.8M(111.9M)(944.5M)(850.1M)(807.6M)
Net Borrowings309.8M345.8M(5.4M)(42.2M)(48.6M)(46.1M)
Investments262.2M(999.4M)(1.9B)(1.7B)(1.5B)(1.5B)

Steel Dynamics Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Steel Dynamics or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Steel Dynamics' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Steel stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.03
σ
Overall volatility
2.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Steel Dynamics Volatility Alert

Steel Dynamics exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.66 and kurtosis of 1.35. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Steel Dynamics' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Steel Dynamics' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Steel Dynamics Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Steel Dynamics' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Steel Dynamics' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Steel Dynamics and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Steel Dynamics or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Steel Dynamics' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Steel Dynamics by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Steel Dynamics to competition
FundamentalsSteel DynamicsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.17-0.31
Return On Asset0.0814-0.14
Profit Margin0.09 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.06 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation22.77 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding152.24 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders6.76 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions83.96 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.01 M4.71 M
Price To Earning4.60 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.27 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.16 X11.42 X
Revenue17.54 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.8 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.94 B3.9 B
Net Income2.45 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share11.41 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.2 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.38 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.67 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share58.74 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations3.52 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.75 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share9.84 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth10.91 X4.89 X
Target Price141.37
Beta1.37-0.15
Market Capitalization20.32 B19.03 B
Total Asset14.91 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings13.55 B9.33 B
Working Capital4.46 B1.48 B
Current Asset2.54 B9.34 B
Note: Disposition of 7000 shares by Christopher Graham of Steel Dynamics at 136.89 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Steel Dynamics Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Steel . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Steel Dynamics Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Steel Dynamics? Buying financial instruments such as Steel Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Steel Dynamics in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Software
Software Theme
Companies that develop and distribute software and software systems to individuals or business. The Software theme has 48 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Software Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Steel Dynamics is a strong investment it is important to analyze Steel Dynamics' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Steel Dynamics' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Steel Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Steel Dynamics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Steel Stock refer to our How to Trade Steel Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Steel Dynamics. If investors know Steel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Steel Dynamics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.48)
Dividend Share
1.84
Earnings Share
9.84
Revenue Per Share
112.858
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.09)
The market value of Steel Dynamics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Steel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Steel Dynamics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Steel Dynamics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Steel Dynamics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Steel Dynamics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Steel Dynamics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Steel Dynamics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Steel Dynamics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.