Sportsmans Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SPWH Stock | USD 1.03 0.03 2.83% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Sportsmans is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Sportsmans' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Sportsmans Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Sportsmans Stock please use our How to Invest in Sportsmans guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Sportsmans and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Sportsmans. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.
Sportsmans |
Execute Sportsmans Buy or Sell Advice
The Sportsmans recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Sportsmans. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Sportsmans or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Sportsmans' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
3 Months |
Risk Tolerance
I am an educated risk taker |
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Sportsmans Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Sportsmans generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sportsmans has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Sportsmans has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.29 B. Net Loss for the year was (29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 366.26 M. | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Sportsmans Warehouse Holdings, Inc. Schedules Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call |
Sportsmans Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Sportsmans' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Sportsmans' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Sportsmans daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Sportsmans price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Sportsmans returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Sportsmans.
| Mean Return | -1.29 |
| Value At Risk | -6.69 |
| Potential Upside | 5.68 |
| Standard Deviation | 4.36 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Sportsmans historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Sportsmans Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | |||
| Gabelli Securities Inc | 2024-12-31 | 738.6 K | |
| Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 587.8 K | |
| Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-12-31 | 558.8 K | |
| Gamco Investors, Inc. Et Al | 2024-12-31 | 555 K | |
| D. E. Shaw & Co Lp | 2024-12-31 | 545.4 K | |
| Castleknight Management Lp | 2024-12-31 | 470.2 K | |
| Millennium Management Llc | 2024-12-31 | 433.2 K | |
| Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 433.1 K | |
| Gsa Capital Partners Llp | 2024-12-31 | 376.1 K | |
| Portolan Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 2.3 M | |
| Cannell Capital Llc | 2024-12-31 | 2 M |
Sportsmans Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 39.9M | (143.1M) | (12.6M) | 44.4M | 51.1M | 53.6M | |
| Change In Cash | 63.8M | (8.5M) | (54.6M) | 752K | 676.8K | 710.6K | |
| Free Cash Flow | 219.1M | (75.1M) | (16.7M) | (27.6M) | (31.8M) | (30.2M) | |
| Depreciation | 21.8M | 26.2M | 31.8M | 56.1M | 64.5M | 67.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 24.4M | 31.8M | 28.8M | (60K) | (69K) | (65.6K) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 19.8M | 53.5M | 63.5M | 79.9M | 91.9M | 96.5M | |
| Net Income | 91.4M | 108.5M | 40.5M | (29.0M) | (33.3M) | (31.7M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 65.5M | 57.0M | 2.4M | 3.1M | 3.6M | 3.4M | |
| Dividends Paid | 125.4M | 5.9M | 580K | 26.8M | 24.1M | 47.9M | |
| Investments | (26.2M) | (53.5M) | (60.6M) | (79.9M) | (71.9M) | (68.3M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (15.8M) | (28.7M) | (148.5M) | 68.9M | 79.2M | 83.1M | |
| Change To Netincome | 3.6M | 2.5M | 26.3M | 40.2M | 46.2M | 48.6M |
Sportsmans Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Sportsmans or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Sportsmans' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Sportsmans stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.3 |
Sportsmans Volatility Alert
Sportsmans exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.78 and kurtosis of 1.43. Sportsmans is a potential penny stock. Although Sportsmans may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Sportsmans. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Sportsmans instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.Sportsmans Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Sportsmans' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Sportsmans' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Sportsmans and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Sportsmans or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Sportsmans' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sportsmans by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Sportsmans to competition |
| Fundamentals | Sportsmans | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.13 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0164 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.03) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 553.9 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 37.96 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.28 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 77.28 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 681.32 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 4.77 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.17 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.03 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.29 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 366.26 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 13.67 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (29 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 6.02 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.16 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 481.74 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.38 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.42 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 6.42 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 52.27 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.67 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.88) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.68 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 3.3 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.1 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.52 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 40.23 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 886.21 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 182.38 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 65.4 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 1802 shares by Jeffrey White of Sportsmans at 1.11 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Sportsmans Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Sportsmans . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 14721.22 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.05 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.04 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 27.98 |
About Sportsmans Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Sportsmans? Buying financial instruments such as Sportsmans Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Sportsmans Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Sportsmans Stock please use our How to Invest in Sportsmans guide.You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Other Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sportsmans. If investors know Sportsmans will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sportsmans listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.78) | Earnings Share (0.88) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Sportsmans is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sportsmans that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sportsmans' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sportsmans' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sportsmans' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sportsmans' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sportsmans' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sportsmans is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sportsmans' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.