Sun Country Airlines Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SNCY Stock  USD 13.12  0.31  2.42%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Sun Country Airlines is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Sun Country Airlines given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Sun Country Airlines, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Sun Country Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Sun and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Sun Country Airlines. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Execute Sun Country Buy or Sell Advice

The Sun recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Sun Country Airlines. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Sun Country Airlines or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Sun Country's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Sun CountryBuy Sun Country
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Sun Country Airlines has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), Jensen Alpha of (0), Total Risk Alpha of 0.2578 and Treynor Ratio of (0.11)
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Sun Country and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Sun Country Airlines is not overpriced, please validate all Sun Country fundamentals, including its debt to equity, and the relationship between the gross profit and price to earnings to growth . Given that Sun Country Airlines has a number of shares shorted of 4.41 M, we advise you to double-check Sun Country Airlines market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Sun Country Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Sun Country Airlines generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sun Country Airlines has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from marketwatch.com: Economic worries may soon hit the airline industry, one analyst cautions

Sun Country Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Sun Country's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Sun Country's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Sun Country daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Sun Country Airlines price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Sun Country returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Sun Country.
Mean Return
-0.09
Value At Risk
-3.91
Potential Upside
4.92
Standard Deviation
2.87
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Sun Country historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Sun Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Sun Country, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sun Country Airlines back and forth among themselves.
Shares
State Street Corp2024-12-31
1.6 M
American Century Companies Inc2024-12-31
1.4 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
1.1 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
916.4 K
Fmr Inc2024-12-31
816.2 K
Lsv Asset Management2024-12-31
787.4 K
Dana Investment Advisors Inc2024-12-31
683.8 K
Driehaus Capital Management Llc2024-12-31
608.2 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
605.2 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
M
Apollo Management Holdings Lp2024-12-31
6.3 M
Note, although Sun Country's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Sun Country Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(614K)(484K)(3.0M)(1.5M)(5.0M)(4.8M)
Investments70K(117M)(349.3M)(230.0M)8.4M8.8M
Change In Cash5.9M247.4M(214.9M)(39.2M)36.8M38.6M
Net Borrowings23.2M105.7M(16.8K)72.2M83.0M56.2M
Depreciation48.1M55.0M67.6M89.5M96.7M64.2M
Capital Expenditures96.3M116.3M187.9M218.2M47.3M45.0M
Net Income(3.9M)77.5M17.7M72.2M52.9M45.2M
End Period Cash Flow70.4M317.8M102.9M63.7M100.5M119.9M
Change To Netincome26.3M31.7M(132.3M)8.1M7.3M7.7M
Free Cash Flow(95.9M)35.7M(60.5M)(44.0M)117.5M123.4M
Other Non Cash Items31.5M3.1M4.9M6.8M(5.2M)(4.9M)

Sun Country Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Sun Country or Passenger Airlines sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Sun Country's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Sun stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0044
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.89
σ
Overall volatility
2.77
Ir
Information ratio 0

Sun Country Volatility Alert

Sun Country Airlines exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.15 and kurtosis of 1.24. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Sun Country's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Sun Country's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Sun Country Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Sun Country's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Sun Country's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Sun Country and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Sun Country or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Sun Country's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sun Country by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Sun Country to competition
FundamentalsSun CountryPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0975-0.31
Return On Asset0.0407-0.14
Profit Margin0.05 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.10 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.12 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding52.31 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.57 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions99.18 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.41 M4.71 M
Price To Earning15.79 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.20 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.64 X11.42 X
Revenue1.08 B9.43 B
Gross Profit341.37 M27.38 B
EBITDA210.58 M3.9 B
Net Income52.9 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents289.58 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.98 X5.01 X
Total Debt619.03 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.30 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.10 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share10.73 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations164.86 M971.22 M
Short Ratio6.10 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.96 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.61 X4.89 X
Target Price21.22
Number Of Employees3.14 K18.84 K
Beta1.47-0.15
Market Capitalization686.29 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.63 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings147.13 M9.33 B
Working Capital(155.71 M)1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 2678 shares by David Davis of Sun Country at 5.3 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Sun Country Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Sun . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Sun Country Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Sun Country Airlines? Buying financial instruments such as Sun Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Sun Country in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Large Value Funds
Large Value Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in the undervalued stocks of large-sized companies. The Large Value Funds theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Large Value Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Sun Stock Analysis

When running Sun Country's price analysis, check to measure Sun Country's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sun Country is operating at the current time. Most of Sun Country's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sun Country's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sun Country's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sun Country to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.