Sirius Xm Holding Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SIRI Stock | USD 22.67 0.84 3.85% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Sirius XM Holding is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Sirius XM's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Sirius XM Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Sirius and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Sirius XM Holding. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
Sirius |
Execute Sirius XM Buy or Sell Advice
The Sirius recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Sirius XM Holding. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Sirius XM Holding or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Sirius XM's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Sirius XM Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Sirius XM Holding had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Sirius XM Holding currently holds 61 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 12.44, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Sirius XM Holding has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Sirius XM's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 8.7 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.08 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.2 B. | |
| About 44.0% of Sirius XM outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 25th of February 2025 Sirius XM paid $ 0.27 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: SIRI Stock Decline Amid Ad Revenue Concerns |
Sirius XM Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Sirius XM's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Sirius XM's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Sirius XM daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Sirius XM Holding price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Sirius XM returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Sirius XM.
| Mean Return | -0.26 | Value At Risk | -6.12 | Potential Upside | 4.76 | Standard Deviation | 3.40 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Sirius XM historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Sirius Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 2.4 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 2.3 M | Seizert Capital Partners, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 2.3 M | Lsv Asset Management | 2024-12-31 | 2.3 M | Thompson, Siegel & Walmsley Llc | 2024-12-31 | 2.3 M | Brandywine Global Investment Mgmt Llc | 2024-12-31 | 2.2 M | Td Global Investment Solutions – Td Epoch | 2024-12-31 | 2.1 M | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.7 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.6 M | Berkshire Hathaway Inc | 2024-12-31 | 117.5 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 21.5 M |
Sirius XM Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (37M) | 116M | (134M) | 159M | (145M) | (137.8M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.7B | 1.6B | 1.6B | 1.2B | 1.0B | 1.1B | |
| Depreciation | 562M | 583M | 585M | 599M | 602M | 632.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.1B | 179M | 158M | 107M | 3.2B | 3.3B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 350M | 388M | 426M | 650M | 728M | 764.4M | |
| Net Income | 131M | 1.3B | 1.2B | 1.3B | (2.1B) | (2.0B) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 83M | 199M | 65M | 224M | 170M | 263.3M | |
| Change To Inventory | 11M | (2M) | 108M | (110M) | (126.5M) | (120.2M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 237M | 268M | 1.3B | 383M | 143M | 237.4M | |
| Investments | 3M | (200M) | 1M | (687M) | (970M) | (921.5M) | |
| Change Receivables | (137M) | (36M) | (108M) | 10M | 9M | 9.5M | |
| Net Borrowings | 565M | 592M | 224M | 573M | 659.0M | 473.0M | |
| Change To Netincome | 642M | 1.6B | 484M | 481M | 553.2M | 334.6M |
Sirius XM Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Sirius XM or Media sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Sirius XM's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Sirius stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Sirius XM Volatility Alert
Sirius XM Holding exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.0 and kurtosis of 3.84. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Sirius XM's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Sirius XM's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Sirius XM Implied Volatility
Sirius XM's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sirius XM Holding stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sirius XM's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sirius XM stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sirius XM's options are near their expiration.
Sirius XM Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Sirius XM's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Sirius XM's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Sirius XM and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Sirius XM or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Sirius XM's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sirius XM by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Sirius XM to competition |
| Fundamentals | Sirius XM | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.17 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0405 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.19) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.20 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 17.61 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 338.77 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 44.00 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 40.73 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 22.72 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 22.38 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.67 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.88 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 8.7 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 4.2 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (747 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (2.08 B) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 39 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.01 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 61 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 12.44 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.38 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 32.67 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.74 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.18 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (6.14) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.66 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 24.08 | |
| Number Of Employees | 5.51 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.07 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 7.68 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 27.52 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 11.12 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (1.58 B) | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Berkshire Hathaway Inc of 925205 shares of Sirius XM at 27.444 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Sirius XM Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Sirius . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Sirius XM Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Sirius XM Holding? Buying financial instruments such as Sirius Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Sirius XM Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Is Cable & Satellite space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sirius XM. If investors know Sirius will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sirius XM listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.785 | Dividend Share 1.068 | Earnings Share (6.14) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
The market value of Sirius XM Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sirius that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sirius XM's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sirius XM's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sirius XM's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sirius XM's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sirius XM's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sirius XM is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sirius XM's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.