Shyft Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SHYF Stock  USD 14.10  0.16  1.12%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your below-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Shyft Group is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Shyft buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Shyft positions.
  
Check out Shyft Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Shyft and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Shyft Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.

Execute Shyft Buy or Sell Advice

The Shyft recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Shyft Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Shyft Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Shyft's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ShyftBuy Shyft
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Shyft Group has a Mean Deviation of 1.92, Semi Deviation of 2.39, Standard Deviation of 2.6, Variance of 6.76, Downside Variance of 6.38 and Semi Variance of 5.72
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Shyft and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Shyft Group is not overpriced, please validate all Shyft fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, target price, last dividend paid, as well as the relationship between the book value per share and retained earnings . Given that Shyft Group has a price to earning of 15.13 X, we advise you to double-check Shyft Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Shyft Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Shyft Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: The Shyft Group Inc Stock Price Up 3.01 percent on Nov 27

Shyft Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Shyft's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Shyft's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Shyft daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Shyft Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Shyft returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Shyft.
Mean Return
0.07
Value At Risk
-4.64
Potential Upside
4.14
Standard Deviation
2.60
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Shyft historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Shyft Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
State Street Corp2024-06-30
701.1 K
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
586.5 K
Schwerin Boyle Capital Management Inc2024-09-30
582.7 K
Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc.2024-09-30
564.2 K
Orchard Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
548.6 K
Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc2024-09-30
499.5 K
Federated Hermes Inc2024-09-30
472.3 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
444.8 K
Centaurus Financial Inc2024-09-30
433.1 K
Pzena Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
3.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
2.7 M
Note, although Shyft's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Shyft Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(8.1M)1.6M16.2M(25.6M)(1.6M)(1.5M)
Free Cash Flow24.1M49.8M51.0M(39.4M)35.5M37.3M
Depreciation11.2M14.2M11.4M14.8M17.0M17.8M
Other Non Cash Items54.0M5.8M(110K)826K389K408.5K
Capital Expenditures10.0M14.5M23.0M20.6M20.7M21.8M
Net Income(12.4M)33.2M70.2M36.6M6.5M9.3M
End Period Cash Flow19.3M21.0M37.2M11.5M10.0M16.1M
Change To Inventory(14.8M)12.8M(20.8M)(33.0M)(5.0M)(4.7M)
Dividends Paid3.6M3.6M3.6M7.1M7.1M7.5M
Investments(99.0M)14.9M(22.1M)(20.4M)(22.9M)(24.0M)
Net Borrowings61.8M(65M)(22.4M)56M64.4M67.6M
Change To Netincome45.4M37.1M10.7M2.9M3.4M3.2M

Shyft Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Shyft or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Shyft's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Shyft stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.18
σ
Overall volatility
2.56
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Shyft Volatility Alert

Shyft Group currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.02 and Jensen Alpha of -0.21. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Shyft's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Shyft's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Shyft Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Shyft's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Shyft's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Shyft and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Shyft or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Shyft's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shyft by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Shyft to competition
FundamentalsShyftPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0149-0.31
Return On Asset8.0E-4-0.14
Profit Margin(0) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.03 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation649.26 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding34.49 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders9.44 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions89.20 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.3 M4.71 M
Price To Earning15.13 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.93 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.62 X11.42 X
Revenue872.2 M9.43 B
Gross Profit180.43 M27.38 B
EBITDA24.18 M3.9 B
Net Income6.46 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.86 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.08 X5.01 X
Total Debt132.37 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.58 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.76 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.33 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations56.24 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.52 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.10) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.33 X4.89 X
Target Price16.0
Number Of Employees3 K18.84 K
Beta1.62-0.15
Market Capitalization491.89 M19.03 B
Total Asset530.05 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings158.46 M9.33 B
Working Capital104.1 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 1666 shares by Scott Ocholik of Shyft at 12.42 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Shyft Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Shyft . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Shyft Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Shyft Group? Buying financial instruments such as Shyft Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Shyft in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Hedge Favorites
Hedge Favorites Theme
Hedge Funds pool capital from accredited individuals or institutional investors and invest in a variety of assets, often with complex portfolio-construction and risk-management techniques. The Hedge Favorites theme has 37 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Hedge Favorites Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Shyft Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Shyft's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Shyft's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Shyft Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Shyft Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shyft. If investors know Shyft will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Shyft listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.31)
Dividend Share
0.2
Earnings Share
(0.10)
Revenue Per Share
22.898
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Shyft Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shyft that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shyft's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shyft's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shyft's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shyft's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shyft's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shyft is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shyft's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.