Star Gas Partners Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SGU Stock  USD 13.00  0.10  0.78%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Star Gas Partners is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Star Gas Partners given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Star Gas Partners, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Star Gas Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Star and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Star Gas Partners. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Star Gas Buy or Sell Advice

The Star recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Star Gas Partners. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Star Gas Partners or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Star Gas' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Star GasBuy Star Gas
Strong Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Star Gas Partners has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0619, Jensen Alpha of 0.1096, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0997, Sortino Ratio of 0.0803 and Treynor Ratio of 0.852
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Star Gas and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Star Gas Partners is not overpriced, please validate all Star Gas fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, current ratio, current asset, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and number of employees . Given that Star Gas Partners has a price to earning of 6.83 X, we advise you to double-check Star Gas Partners market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Star Gas Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Star Gas Partners has 304.56 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.0, which is OK given its current industry classification. Star Gas Partners has a current ratio of 0.92, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Star to invest in growth at high rates of return.
About 15.0% of Star Gas outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Star Cement - Positive Breakout These 5 stocks cross above their 200 DMAs - The Economic Times

Star Gas Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Star Gas' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Star Gas' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Star Gas daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Star Gas Partners price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Star Gas returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Star Gas.
Mean Return
0.12
Value At Risk
-1.89
Potential Upside
2.46
Standard Deviation
1.56
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Star Gas historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Star Stock Institutional Investors

The Star Gas' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Star Gas' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
62.9 K
Parsons Capital Management Inc2024-12-31
53.5 K
Victory Capital Management Inc.2024-12-31
48.2 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-12-31
47 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
41.4 K
Commonwealth Equity Services Inc2024-12-31
40.9 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-09-30
31.1 K
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2024-12-31
31 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-12-31
29.2 K
Bandera Partners Llc2024-09-30
3.4 M
Hartree Partners, Lp2024-09-30
3.1 M
Note, although Star Gas' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Star Gas Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(11.5M)(21.1M)27.0M18.5M21.2M22.3M
Change In Cash(52.1M)9.9M30.6M72.1M64.9M68.2M
Free Cash Flow53.8M15.2M114.6M100.3M115.4M121.1M
Depreciation34.5M33.6M33.4M32.5M37.4M33.6M
Other Non Cash Items(36.4M)22.7M58.8M27.1M31.1M20.7M
Dividends Paid23.4M23.2M23.7M25.0M22.5M23.3M
Capital Expenditures15.1M18.7M9.0M10.7M12.3M11.2M
Net Income87.7M35.3M31.9M35.2M40.5M42.5M
End Period Cash Flow5.0M14.9M45.4M117.6M135.2M142.0M
Change Receivables10.1M34.4M(15.2M)(43.5M)(39.1M)(37.2M)
Net Borrowings(32.1M)(4.4M)63.6M(36.5M)(42.0M)(39.9M)
Change To Netincome8.4M(24.3M)19.5M11.5M10.4M6.9M
Investments(1.1M)(32.6M)(28.2M)(61.2M)(70.4M)(66.8M)

Star Gas Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Star Gas or Gas Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Star Gas' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Star stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
1.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Star Gas Volatility Alert

Star Gas Partners has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.16 and kurtosis of 2.72. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Star Gas' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Star Gas' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Star Gas Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Star Gas' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Star Gas' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Star Gas and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Star Gas or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Star Gas' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Star Gas by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Star Gas to competition
FundamentalsStar GasPeer Average
Return On Equity0.17-0.31
Return On Asset0.0588-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.04) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation704.5 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding34.66 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders14.64 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions44.90 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted71.96 K4.71 M
Price To Earning6.83 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.53 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.26 X11.42 X
Revenue1.77 B9.43 B
Gross Profit470.75 M27.38 B
EBITDA92.6 M3.9 B
Net Income35.22 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents14.62 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.25 X5.01 X
Total Debt304.56 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.00 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.94 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share8.99 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations110.98 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.38 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.24 X3.12 X
Target Price13.0
Number Of Employees3.04 K18.84 K
Beta0.42-0.15
Market Capitalization426.68 M19.03 B
Total Asset939.61 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings35.29 M9.33 B
Working Capital(92.33 M)1.48 B
Current Asset294.86 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Jeffrey Woosnam of 5000 shares of Star Gas at 9.22 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Star Gas Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Star . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Star Gas Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Star Gas Partners? Buying financial instruments such as Star Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Star Stock Analysis

When running Star Gas' price analysis, check to measure Star Gas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Star Gas is operating at the current time. Most of Star Gas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Star Gas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Star Gas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Star Gas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.