Saga Communications Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SGA Stock  USD 12.12  0.15  1.25%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Saga Communications is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Saga Communications buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SGA positions.
  
Check out Saga Communications Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Saga Stock refer to our How to Trade Saga Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Saga and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Saga Communications. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Saga Communications Buy or Sell Advice

The Saga recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Saga Communications. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Saga Communications or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Saga Communications' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Saga CommunicationsBuy Saga Communications
Strong Hold

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Saga Communications has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0351, Jensen Alpha of 0.0838, Total Risk Alpha of 0.3612, Sortino Ratio of 0.0841 and Treynor Ratio of 0.4542
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Saga Communications and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Saga Communications is not overpriced, please validate all Saga Communications fundamentals, including its gross profit, debt to equity, and the relationship between the price to book and cash and equivalents . Given that Saga Communications has a price to earning of 11.54 X, we advise you to double-check Saga Communications market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Saga Communications Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Saga Communications has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 7th of March 2025 Saga Communications paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Sarytogan Graphite Strengthens Water Supply Strategy for Kazakhstan Project

Saga Communications Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Saga Communications' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Saga Communications' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Saga Communications daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Saga Communications price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Saga Communications returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Saga Communications.
Mean Return
0.08
Value At Risk
-3.3
Potential Upside
4.21
Standard Deviation
2.34
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Saga Communications historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Saga Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Martin & Co Inc2024-12-31
44.3 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-12-31
42.4 K
Empowered Funds, Llc2024-12-31
28.6 K
Mork Capital Management2024-12-31
25 K
Krilogy Advisors Llc2024-12-31
24 K
Marquette Asset Management Inc.2024-12-31
22.1 K
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-12-31
21.4 K
State Street Corp2024-12-31
21 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-12-31
19.4 K
Towerview Llc2024-12-31
1.2 M
Gate City Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
863.8 K
Note, although Saga Communications' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Saga Communications Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash7.3M3.4M(18.0M)(7.2M)(8.3M)(7.9M)
Free Cash Flow9.6M15.0M11.1M11.0M12.7M10.6M
Depreciation6.5M5.7M5.2M5.1M4.5M5.9M
Other Non Cash Items4.0M(807K)815K(13K)(11.7K)(11.1K)
Capital Expenditures2.5M4.1M6.1M4.4M3.9M3.7M
Net Income(1.9M)11.2M9.2M9.5M10.9M8.2M
End Period Cash Flow51.4M54.8M36.8M29.6M34.0M19.7M
Change To Inventory(3.0M)(507K)1.1M639K734.9K771.6K
Investments(604K)(3.3M)(10M)(2.9M)(2.6M)(2.5M)
Dividends Paid3.7M1.9M19.8M19.9M22.9M24.0M
Change To Netincome12.1M5.7M7.9M7.9M7.1M3.9M

Saga Communications Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Saga Communications or Media sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Saga Communications' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Saga stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
2.25
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Saga Communications Volatility Alert

Saga Communications currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.08 and Jensen Alpha of 0.08. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Saga Communications' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Saga Communications' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Saga Communications Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Saga Communications' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Saga Communications' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Saga Communications and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Saga Communications or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Saga Communications' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Saga Communications by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Saga Communications to competition
FundamentalsSaga CommunicationsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0206-0.31
Return On Asset0.0142-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.03 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation51.96 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding6.26 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders25.00 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions64.30 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted8.1 K4.71 M
Price To Earning11.54 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.46 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.69 X11.42 X
Revenue110.29 M9.43 B
Gross Profit16.01 M27.38 B
EBITDA2.35 M3.9 B
Net Income9.5 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents52.34 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share8.65 X5.01 X
Total Debt7.35 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.03 %48.70 %
Current Ratio4.68 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share26.51 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations15.38 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.48 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.55 X3.12 X
Target Price24.0
Beta0.34-0.15
Market Capitalization75.89 M19.03 B
Total Asset232.21 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings134.77 M9.33 B
Working Capital32.62 M1.48 B
Current Asset47.9 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities14.34 M7.9 B
Note: Disposition of 5000 shares by Edward K. Christian Trust of Saga Communications at 12.61 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Saga Communications Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Saga . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Saga Communications Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Saga Communications? Buying financial instruments such as Saga Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Saga Communications in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Large Blend Funds
Large Blend Funds Theme
Fund or Etfs that invest in stocks of large organizations that have characteristics of both growth and value companies. The Large Blend Funds theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Large Blend Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Saga Communications offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Saga Communications' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Saga Communications Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Saga Communications Stock:
Check out Saga Communications Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Saga Stock refer to our How to Trade Saga Stock guide.
You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Broadcasting space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Saga Communications. If investors know Saga will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Saga Communications listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.51)
Dividend Share
1.6
Earnings Share
0.55
Revenue Per Share
18.155
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of Saga Communications is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Saga that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Saga Communications' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Saga Communications' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Saga Communications' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Saga Communications' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Saga Communications' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Saga Communications is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Saga Communications' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.