Arcadia Biosciences Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

RKDA Stock  USD 2.75  0.04  1.43%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding Arcadia Biosciences is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Arcadia Biosciences buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding RKDA positions.
  
Check out Arcadia Biosciences Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Arcadia Stock refer to our How to Trade Arcadia Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Arcadia and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Arcadia Biosciences. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Execute Arcadia Biosciences Buy or Sell Advice

The Arcadia recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Arcadia Biosciences. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Arcadia Biosciences or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Arcadia Biosciences' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Arcadia BiosciencesBuy Arcadia Biosciences
Strong Sell

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

UnstableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Arcadia Biosciences has a Mean Deviation of 4.16, Semi Deviation of 6.35, Standard Deviation of 6.69, Variance of 44.74, Downside Variance of 52.01 and Semi Variance of 40.32
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Arcadia Biosciences. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Arcadia Biosciences is not overpriced, please confirm all Arcadia Biosciences fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, price to sales, cash per share, as well as the relationship between the number of shares shorted and ebitda . Please also double-check Arcadia Biosciences price to earning to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Arcadia Biosciences Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Arcadia Biosciences had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Arcadia Biosciences has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.33 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.99 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.22 M).
Arcadia Biosciences currently holds about 21.23 M in cash with (15.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.96.
Arcadia Biosciences has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Short Interest in Arcadia Biosciences, Inc. Declines By 21.3

Arcadia Biosciences Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Arcadia Biosciences' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Arcadia Biosciences' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Arcadia Biosciences daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Arcadia Biosciences price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Arcadia Biosciences returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Arcadia Biosciences.
Mean Return
0.13
Value At Risk
-12.63
Potential Upside
10.64
Standard Deviation
6.69
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Arcadia Biosciences historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Arcadia Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-06-30
2.0
Harbour Investments, Inc.2024-09-30
1.0
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
0.0
Sabby Management Llc2024-06-30
0.0
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-06-30
0.0
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
14 K
State Street Corp2024-09-30
12.1 K
Tower Research Capital Llc2024-09-30
1.8 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
607
Ubs Group Ag2024-09-30
239
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2024-06-30
88.0
Note, although Arcadia Biosciences' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Arcadia Biosciences Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(1.5M)(9.8M)(2.4M)1.1M444K466.2K
Change In Cash(3.6M)7.6M12.6M(8.0M)(14.1M)(13.4M)
Free Cash Flow(18.7M)(32.6M)(26.9M)(14.0M)(15.3M)(16.1M)
Depreciation194K662K1.0M479K984K506.2K
Other Non Cash Items(299K)(15.3M)492K(1M)499K524.0K
Capital Expenditures1.5M2.3M1.0M72K5K4.8K
Net Income(28.9M)(6.0M)(16.1M)(15.6M)(14.0M)(14.7M)
End Period Cash Flow8.4M16.0M28.7M20.6M6.5M6.2M
Investments(6.9M)20.1M16.6M1.4M(4.1M)(3.9M)
Change To Netincome(7.7M)10.8M(14.9M)(9.3M)(8.3M)(7.9M)
Change Receivables(703K)1.1M(437K)(1.1M)(1.0M)(956.7K)

Arcadia Biosciences Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Arcadia Biosciences or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Arcadia Biosciences' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Arcadia stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.59
σ
Overall volatility
6.57
Ir
Information ratio 0.0007

Arcadia Biosciences Volatility Alert

Arcadia Biosciences is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Arcadia Biosciences' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Arcadia Biosciences' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Arcadia Biosciences Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Arcadia Biosciences' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Arcadia Biosciences' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Arcadia Biosciences and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Arcadia Biosciences or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Arcadia Biosciences' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Arcadia Biosciences by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Arcadia Biosciences to competition
FundamentalsArcadia BiosciencesPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.53-0.31
Return On Asset-0.39-0.14
Profit Margin(1.12) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(1.15) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation(2.42 M)16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.36 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.70 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions4.59 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted19.62 K4.71 M
Price To Earning4.84 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.37 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.73 X11.42 X
Revenue5.33 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(2.22 M)27.38 B
EBITDA(13.58 M)3.9 B
Net Income(13.99 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents21.23 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.96 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.01 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.09 %48.70 %
Current Ratio6.34 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.54 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(15.29 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio0.71 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(6.77) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.08) X4.89 X
Target Price9.0
Number Of Employees2118.84 K
Beta1.27-0.15
Market Capitalization3.81 M19.03 B
Total Asset19.7 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(271.84 M)9.33 B
Working Capital11.38 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Thomas Schaefer of 20000 shares of Arcadia Biosciences at 2.71 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Arcadia Biosciences Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Arcadia . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Arcadia Biosciences Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Arcadia Biosciences? Buying financial instruments such as Arcadia Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Arcadia Biosciences in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

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Railroads
Railroads Theme
Companies involved in manufacturing and maintenance of freight railroads and passenger trains as well as providing railroad services to public. The Railroads theme has 38 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Railroads Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Arcadia Biosciences offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Arcadia Biosciences' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Arcadia Biosciences Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Arcadia Biosciences Stock:
Check out Arcadia Biosciences Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Arcadia Stock refer to our How to Trade Arcadia Stock guide.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Agricultural Products & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arcadia Biosciences. If investors know Arcadia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arcadia Biosciences listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.285
Earnings Share
(6.77)
Revenue Per Share
3.802
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Return On Assets
(0.39)
The market value of Arcadia Biosciences is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arcadia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arcadia Biosciences' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arcadia Biosciences' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arcadia Biosciences' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arcadia Biosciences' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Arcadia Biosciences' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Arcadia Biosciences is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arcadia Biosciences' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.