Rivian Automotive Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| RIVN Stock | USD 12.23 0.01 0.08% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Rivian Automotive is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Rivian Automotive's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Rivian Automotive Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Rivian Stock, please use our How to Invest in Rivian Automotive guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Rivian and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Rivian Automotive. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
Rivian |
Execute Rivian Automotive Buy or Sell Advice
The Rivian recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Rivian Automotive. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Rivian Automotive or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Rivian Automotive's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Rivian Automotive Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Rivian Automotive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Rivian Automotive has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Rivian Automotive has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.43 B. Net Loss for the year was (5.43 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (3.12 B). | |
| Rivian Automotive currently holds about 13.27 B in cash with (4.87 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 14.41, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Rivian Automotive has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from fool.com: Why Rivian Stock Surged Higher Again Today |
Rivian Automotive Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Rivian Automotive's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Rivian Automotive's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Rivian Automotive daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Rivian Automotive price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Rivian Automotive returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Rivian Automotive.
| Mean Return | -0.09 | Value At Risk | -6.95 | Potential Upside | 5.37 | Standard Deviation | 4.38 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Rivian Automotive historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Rivian Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Rivian Automotive, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rivian Automotive back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 6.3 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-06-30 | 4.9 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 4.9 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 4.6 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 4.3 M | Gilder Gagnon Howe & Co Llc | 2024-09-30 | 3.6 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 3.5 M | Abrdn Plc | 2024-09-30 | 3.4 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 3.3 M | Amazon.com Inc | 2024-09-30 | 158.4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 78.4 M |
Rivian Automotive Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Rivian Automotive or Automobiles sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Rivian Automotive's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Rivian stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Rivian Automotive Volatility Alert
Rivian Automotive exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.02 and kurtosis of 3.24. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Rivian Automotive's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Rivian Automotive's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Rivian Automotive Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Rivian Automotive's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Rivian Automotive's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Rivian Automotive and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Rivian Automotive or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Rivian Automotive's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rivian Automotive by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Rivian Automotive to competition |
| Fundamentals | Rivian Automotive | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.67 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.23 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (1.21) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (1.34) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 11.99 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.01 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 26.61 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 45.73 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 150 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 2.11 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.74 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.43 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (3.12 B) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (4.27 B) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (5.43 B) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 13.27 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 14.41 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 4.92 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.11 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 6.84 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 5.78 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (4.87 B) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.96 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (5.60) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.13 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 14.96 | |
| Number Of Employees | 16.79 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.05 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 12.47 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 16.78 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (18.56 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 9.83 B | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 16.78 B |
Note: Payment of 1727 shares by Claire McDonough of Rivian Automotive subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Rivian Automotive Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Rivian . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Rivian Automotive Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Rivian Automotive? Buying financial instruments such as Rivian Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Rivian Automotive in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Blockchain Thematic Idea Now
Blockchain
Companies across muliple sectors and different technology products and services that are engaged in some capacity with blockchain technolgoy or evolution of cryptocurrency. The Blockchain theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Blockchain Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out Rivian Automotive Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Rivian Stock, please use our How to Invest in Rivian Automotive guide.You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Automobile Manufacturers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rivian Automotive. If investors know Rivian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rivian Automotive listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (5.60) | Revenue Per Share 4.602 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.35) | Return On Assets (0.23) | Return On Equity (0.67) |
The market value of Rivian Automotive is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rivian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rivian Automotive's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rivian Automotive's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rivian Automotive's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rivian Automotive's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rivian Automotive's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rivian Automotive is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rivian Automotive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.