Quad Graphics Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

QUAD Stock  USD 7.65  0.03  0.39%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Quad Graphics is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Quad Graphics buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding QUAD positions.
  
Check out Quad Graphics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Quad Stock refer to our How to Trade Quad Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Quad and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Quad Graphics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Quad Graphics Buy or Sell Advice

The Quad recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Quad Graphics. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Quad Graphics or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Quad Graphics' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Quad GraphicsBuy Quad Graphics
Strong Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Quad Graphics has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1895, Jensen Alpha of 0.9008, Total Risk Alpha of 0.8193, Sortino Ratio of 0.28 and Treynor Ratio of 0.6093
We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on Quad Graphics. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Quad Graphics is not overpriced, please check all Quad Graphics fundamentals, including its price to sales, cash per share, and the relationship between the number of shares shorted and ebitda . Given that Quad Graphics has a price to earning of 7.10 X, we recommend you to check out Quad Graphics market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Quad Graphics Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Quad Graphics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Quad Graphics currently holds 625.3 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.97, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Quad Graphics has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Quad Graphics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 2.96 B. Net Loss for the year was (55.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 598.2 M.
About 21.0% of Quad Graphics outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 6th of December 2024 Quad Graphics paid $ 0.05 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: At US7.41, Is QuadGraphics, Inc. Worth Looking At Closely

Quad Graphics Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Quad Graphics' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Quad Graphics' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Quad Graphics daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Quad Graphics price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Quad Graphics returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Quad Graphics.
Mean Return
0.94
Value At Risk
-4.79
Potential Upside
8.83
Standard Deviation
4.13
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Quad Graphics historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Quad Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
State Street Corp2024-09-30
539.1 K
Empowered Funds, Llc2024-09-30
279.5 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
249.1 K
Exchange Traded Concepts, Llc2024-09-30
233 K
Alliancebernstein L.p.2024-09-30
216.1 K
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-09-30
191.6 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
176.8 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-09-30
168.9 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
139.5 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
2.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
2.1 M
Note, although Quad Graphics' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Quad Graphics Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory61.3M45.8M(58.3M)(41.1M)90.3M94.8M
Change In Cash9.2M(23.5M)124.7M(154.7M)27.7M29.1M
Free Cash Flow44.5M129.2M86.5M94.3M76.8M124.1M
Depreciation223.1M181.6M157.3M141.3M128.8M197.1M
Other Non Cash Items15.2M128.7M77.2M(46.8M)25.2M15.5M
Dividends Paid62.9M57.1M9.5M1.4M100K95K
Capital Expenditures111M61M50M60.3M70.8M88.5M
Net Income(156.3M)(128.5M)37.8M9.3M(55.4M)(58.2M)
End Period Cash Flow78.7M55.2M179.9M25.2M52.9M45.3M
Change Receivables49.4M57.1M72.8M12.7M11.4M10.9M
Net Borrowings130.8M(188.1M)(124.9M)(234.2M)(210.8M)(200.2M)
Change To Netincome72.3M138.4M(22.2M)31.4M28.3M26.8M
Investments(5M)9.7M(1.4M)(60.5M)(71.3M)(67.7M)

Quad Graphics Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Quad Graphics or Commercial Services & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Quad Graphics' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Quad stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.90
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.53
σ
Overall volatility
4.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

Quad Graphics Volatility Alert

Quad Graphics shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Quad Graphics' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Quad Graphics' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Quad Graphics Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Quad Graphics' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Quad Graphics' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Quad Graphics and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Quad Graphics or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Quad Graphics' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Quad Graphics by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Quad Graphics to competition
FundamentalsQuad GraphicsPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.8-0.31
Return On Asset0.0493-0.14
Profit Margin(0.03) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.05 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation978.71 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding38.86 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders21.22 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions50.76 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.23 M4.71 M
Price To Earning7.10 X28.72 X
Price To Book7.83 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.14 X11.42 X
Revenue2.96 B9.43 B
Gross Profit598.2 M27.38 B
EBITDA156.2 M3.9 B
Net Income(55.4 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents13.3 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.25 X5.01 X
Total Debt625.3 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity5.97 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.95 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.97 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations147.6 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.18 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.63) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.63 X4.89 X
Target Price10.15
Number Of Employees13 K18.84 K
Beta1.59-0.15
Market Capitalization398.71 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.51 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(573.9 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(203.1 M)1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Kathryn Flores of 25000 shares of Quad Graphics subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Quad Graphics Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Quad . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Quad Graphics Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Quad Graphics? Buying financial instruments such as Quad Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Quad Graphics in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Plastics
Plastics Theme
Companies manufacturing rubber and plastics accessories. The Plastics theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Plastics Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Quad Graphics is a strong investment it is important to analyze Quad Graphics' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Quad Graphics' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Quad Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Quad Graphics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Quad Stock refer to our How to Trade Quad Stock guide.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Quad Graphics. If investors know Quad will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Quad Graphics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share
0.15
Earnings Share
(1.63)
Revenue Per Share
57.931
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Return On Assets
0.0493
The market value of Quad Graphics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Quad that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Quad Graphics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Quad Graphics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Quad Graphics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Quad Graphics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Quad Graphics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Quad Graphics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Quad Graphics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.