APA (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PJZ Stock  EUR 4.21  0.03  0.71%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding APA Group is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides APA buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding APA positions.
  
Check out APA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as APA and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. APA Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute APA Buy or Sell Advice

The APA recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on APA Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in APA Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute APA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell APABuy APA
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon APA Group has a Mean Deviation of 1.16, Standard Deviation of 1.75 and Variance of 3.06
We provide trade recommendation to complement the latest expert consensus on APA Group. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available right now. Use APA Group cash and equivalents, current ratio, beta, as well as the relationship between the total debt and cash flow from operations to ensure your buy or sell decision on APA Group is adequate.

APA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

APA Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
APA Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
APA Group has accumulated 7.31 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 267.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. APA Group has a current ratio of 0.4, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist APA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, APA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like APA Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for APA to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about APA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

APA Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of APA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of APA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of APA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use APA Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of APA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for APA.
Mean Return
-0.08
Value At Risk
-4.01
Potential Upside
2.16
Standard Deviation
1.75
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of APA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

APA Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to APA or Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that APA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a APA stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.76
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

APA Volatility Alert

APA Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.6 and kurtosis of 3.11. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure APA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact APA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

APA Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing APA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze APA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between APA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as APA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of APA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing APA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare APA to competition
FundamentalsAPAPeer Average
Price To Earning38.08 X28.72 X
EBITDA1.13 B3.9 B
Net Income195.75 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents93 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.08 X5.01 X
Total Debt7.31 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity267.20 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.41 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.59 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations762.5 M971.22 M
Number Of Employees1.7 K18.84 K
Beta0.12-0.15
Market Capitalization8.05 B19.03 B
Z Score0.68.72
Five Year Return4.81 %
Last Dividend Paid0.54

APA Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as APA . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About APA Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell APA Group? Buying financial instruments such as APA Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in APA Stock

APA financial ratios help investors to determine whether APA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in APA with respect to the benefits of owning APA security.