Progressive Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| PGR Stock | USD 283.69 4.29 1.54% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Progressive Corp is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Progressive Corp within the specified time frame.
Check out Progressive Corp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Progressive Stock, please use our How to Invest in Progressive Corp guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Progressive and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Progressive Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
Progressive |
Execute Progressive Corp Buy or Sell Advice
The Progressive recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Progressive Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Progressive Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Progressive Corp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Progressive Corp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Progressive Corp is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Progressive Corp has 6.89 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.43, which is OK given its current industry classification. Progressive Corp has a current ratio of 0.4, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Progressive to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Progressive Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 88.0% of Progressive Corp shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 16th of January 2025 Progressive Corp paid $ 4.6 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Kingstone Companies, Inc Q4 Earnings Meet Estimates |
Progressive Corp Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Progressive Corp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Progressive Corp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Progressive Corp daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Progressive Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Progressive Corp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Progressive Corp.
| Mean Return | 0.20 | Value At Risk | -1.43 | Potential Upside | 2.42 | Standard Deviation | 1.29 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Progressive Corp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Progressive Stock Institutional Investors
The Progressive Corp's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Progressive Corp's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Hhg Plc | 2024-12-31 | 7 M | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2024-12-31 | 6.4 M | Capital World Investors | 2024-12-31 | 6.4 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 6.2 M | Capital Research Global Investors | 2024-12-31 | 6.1 M | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2024-12-31 | 6 M | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 5.7 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-12-31 | 5.5 M | Brown Advisory Holdings Inc | 2024-12-31 | 5.5 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 53.4 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 52.6 M |
Progressive Corp Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (150.9M) | 125.6M | 18.8M | (121.3M) | 54M | 56.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 6.7B | 7.5B | 6.6B | 10.4B | 14.8B | 15.6B | |
| Depreciation | 331.8M | 337.4M | 336.6M | 299.7M | 284M | 174.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (1.5B) | (1.4B) | 2.1B | (275.5M) | (281M) | (295.1M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.6B | 3.8B | 260.8M | 277.6M | 682M | 462.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 223.5M | 243.5M | 292M | 252M | 285M | 158.0M | |
| Net Income | 5.7B | 3.4B | 721.5M | 3.9B | 8.5B | 8.9B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 76.5M | 202.1M | 220.9M | 99.6M | 154M | 86.2M | |
| Change To Inventory | 4.0B | 3.3B | 6.7B | 7.5B | 6.7B | 7.0B | |
| Change To Netincome | (928M) | (1.5B) | (1.3B) | 2.2B | 2.0B | 2.1B | |
| Investments | (6.0B) | (2.7B) | (8.0B) | (9.5B) | (13.7B) | (13.1B) | |
| Change Receivables | (1.6B) | (2.0B) | (1.0B) | (1.7B) | (1.6B) | (1.5B) |
Progressive Corp Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Progressive Corp or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Progressive Corp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Progressive stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.23 |
Progressive Corp Volatility Alert
Progressive Corp has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.47 and kurtosis of 0.71. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Progressive Corp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Progressive Corp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Progressive Corp Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Progressive Corp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Progressive Corp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Progressive Corp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Progressive Corp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Progressive Corp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Progressive Corp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Progressive Corp to competition |
| Fundamentals | Progressive Corp | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.37 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0707 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.11 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.15 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 170.54 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 586.21 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.28 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 87.62 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 6.47 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 93.06 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 6.40 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.21 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 8.76 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 11.44 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 11.28 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 8.48 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 4.59 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 7.84 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 6.89 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.43 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.41 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 43.69 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 15.12 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.48 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 14.39 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.13 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 288.88 | |
| Number Of Employees | 66.31 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.35 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 166.3 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 105.75 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 24.28 B | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % |
Note: Disposition of 10000 shares by John Sauerland of Progressive Corp at 246.69 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Progressive Corp Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Progressive . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Progressive Corp Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Progressive Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Progressive Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2010 | 2011 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Working Capital | 1.9B | 3.6B | 3.2B | 2.3B | Market Cap | 460.2M | 12.3B | 11.1B | 11.7B |
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Additional Tools for Progressive Stock Analysis
When running Progressive Corp's price analysis, check to measure Progressive Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Progressive Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Progressive Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Progressive Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Progressive Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Progressive Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.