Paragon GmbH (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PGN Stock  EUR 1.82  0.06  3.19%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding paragon GmbH Co is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Paragon GmbH buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PGN positions.
  
Check out Paragon GmbH Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Paragon and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. paragon GmbH Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Paragon GmbH Buy or Sell Advice

The Paragon recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on paragon GmbH Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in paragon GmbH Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Paragon GmbH's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Paragon GmbHBuy Paragon GmbH
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon paragon GmbH Co has a Mean Deviation of 3.54, Standard Deviation of 5.01 and Variance of 25.13
We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on paragon GmbH. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Paragon GmbH is not overpriced, please check all paragon GmbH fundamentals, including its net income, debt to equity, and the relationship between the gross profit and cash per share .

Paragon GmbH Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

paragon GmbH generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
paragon GmbH has high historical volatility and very poor performance
paragon GmbH may become a speculative penny stock
paragon GmbH has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 146.92 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 80.86 M.
About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Paragon GmbH Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Paragon GmbH's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Paragon GmbH's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Paragon GmbH daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use paragon GmbH Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Paragon GmbH returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Paragon GmbH.
Mean Return
-0.19
Value At Risk
-7.89
Potential Upside
6.45
Standard Deviation
5.01
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Paragon GmbH historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Paragon GmbH Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Paragon GmbH or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Paragon GmbH's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Paragon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.78
σ
Overall volatility
5.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Paragon GmbH Volatility Alert

paragon GmbH Co exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.36 and kurtosis of 5.07. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Paragon GmbH's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Paragon GmbH's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Paragon GmbH Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Paragon GmbH's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Paragon GmbH's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Paragon GmbH and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Paragon GmbH or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Paragon GmbH's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Paragon GmbH by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Paragon GmbH to competition
FundamentalsParagon GmbHPeer Average
Return On Equity-1.57-0.31
Return On Asset4.0E-4-0.14
Profit Margin(0.01) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.0007 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation124.82 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding4.53 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders20.12 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions0.09 %39.21 %
Price To Earning21.32 X28.72 X
Price To Book40.27 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.13 X11.42 X
Revenue146.92 M9.43 B
Gross Profit80.86 M27.38 B
EBITDA15.55 M3.9 B
Net Income(11.42 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents10.07 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.23 X5.01 X
Total Debt10.18 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity84.30 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.42 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(0.28) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations14.81 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(1.56) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth38.44 X4.89 X
Target Price93.96
Number Of Employees87118.84 K
Beta1.54-0.15
Market Capitalization21.5 M19.03 B
Total Asset159.67 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings14 M9.33 B
Working Capital6 M1.48 B
Current Asset33 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities27 M7.9 B

Paragon GmbH Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Paragon . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Paragon GmbH Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell paragon GmbH Co? Buying financial instruments such as Paragon Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Paragon Stock

Paragon GmbH financial ratios help investors to determine whether Paragon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Paragon with respect to the benefits of owning Paragon GmbH security.