Phibro Animal Health Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PAHC Stock  USD 21.25  0.76  3.71%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Phibro Animal Health is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Phibro Animal buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PAHC positions.
  
Check out Phibro Animal Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Phibro and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Phibro Animal Health. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.

Execute Phibro Animal Buy or Sell Advice

The Phibro recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Phibro Animal Health. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Phibro Animal Health or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Phibro Animal's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Phibro AnimalBuy Phibro Animal
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Phibro Animal Health has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), Jensen Alpha of 0.0615, Total Risk Alpha of 0.32 and Treynor Ratio of (0.06)
Our recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Phibro Animal. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Phibro Animal is not overpriced, please check all Phibro Animal Health fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, gross profit, debt to equity, as well as the relationship between the price to book and cash and equivalents . Given that Phibro Animal Health has a price to earning of 11.39 X, we recommend you to check out Phibro Animal Health market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Phibro Animal Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Phibro Animal Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Phibro Animal Health has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Is it Worth Retaining QIAGEN Stock in Your Portfolio Now

Phibro Animal Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Phibro Animal's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Phibro Animal's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Phibro Animal daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Phibro Animal Health price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Phibro Animal returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Phibro Animal.
Mean Return
-0.07
Value At Risk
-5.81
Potential Upside
3.84
Standard Deviation
3.23
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Phibro Animal historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Phibro Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Parkwood Llc2024-12-31
481.5 K
Dana Investment Advisors Inc2024-12-31
409.3 K
Castleknight Management Lp2024-12-31
389.4 K
Aqr Capital Management Llc
327.4 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-12-31
322.1 K
Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc.2024-12-31
301.2 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
290.7 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
272.6 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
245.1 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
3.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
1.5 M
Note, although Phibro Animal's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Phibro Animal Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(12.5M)(47.0M)(11.2M)2.6M2.4M2.5M
Change In Cash13.9M24.0M(33.0M)29.3M33.7M35.4M
Free Cash Flow19.0M(5.4M)(38.5M)46.4M53.3M56.0M
Depreciation31.9M32.7M34.0M36.2M41.6M23.3M
Other Non Cash Items(7.0M)(4.8M)1.1M23.3M26.7M28.1M
Capital Expenditures29.3M37.0M51.8M41.2M47.4M23.8M
Net Income54.4M49.2M32.6M2.4M2.8M2.6M
End Period Cash Flow50.2M74.2M41.3M70.6M81.2M85.3M
Dividends Paid18.6M19.4M19.4M19.4M17.5M15.8M
Change Receivables28.7M(18.2M)(23.6M)5.3M6.1M6.4M
Net Borrowings60.4M5.4M50M41.2M47.4M49.8M
Change To Netincome8.7M(8.9M)(6.5M)(12.9M)(11.6M)(11.0M)
Investments12M27.4M(23M)(48.2M)(55.4M)(52.7M)

Phibro Animal Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Phibro Animal or Pharmaceuticals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Phibro Animal's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Phibro stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.34
σ
Overall volatility
3.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Phibro Animal Volatility Alert

Phibro Animal Health exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.7 and kurtosis of 2.62. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Phibro Animal's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Phibro Animal's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Phibro Animal Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Phibro Animal's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Phibro Animal's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Phibro Animal and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Phibro Animal or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Phibro Animal's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Phibro Animal by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Phibro Animal to competition
FundamentalsPhibro AnimalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0746-0.31
Return On Asset0.056-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.12 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.58 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding20.34 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.59 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions99.41 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted870.53 K4.71 M
Price To Earning11.39 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.49 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.78 X11.42 X
Revenue1.02 B9.43 B
Gross Profit353.96 M27.38 B
EBITDA84.61 M3.9 B
Net Income2.42 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents98.67 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.44 X5.01 X
Total Debt525.46 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.79 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.97 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share6.09 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations87.59 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.22 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.48 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.66 X4.89 X
Target Price21.0
Number Of Employees1.94 K18.84 K
Beta0.58-0.15
Market Capitalization860.7 M19.03 B
Total Asset982.18 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings243.89 M9.33 B
Working Capital396.85 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Glenn David of 30000 shares of Phibro Animal subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Phibro Animal Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Phibro . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Phibro Animal Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Phibro Animal Health? Buying financial instruments such as Phibro Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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When determining whether Phibro Animal Health offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Phibro Animal's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Phibro Animal Health Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Phibro Animal Health Stock:
Check out Phibro Animal Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Phibro Animal. If investors know Phibro will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Phibro Animal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.621
Dividend Share
0.48
Revenue Per Share
27.308
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.237
Return On Assets
0.056
The market value of Phibro Animal Health is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Phibro that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Phibro Animal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Phibro Animal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Phibro Animal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Phibro Animal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Phibro Animal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Phibro Animal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Phibro Animal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.