Old Republic International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ORI Stock | USD 38.97 0.01 0.03% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Old Republic International is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Old Republic's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Old Republic Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Old and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Old Republic International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
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Execute Old Republic Buy or Sell Advice
The Old recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Old Republic International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Old Republic International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Old Republic's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Old Republic Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Old Republic International has 1.59 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.28, which may show that the company is not taking advantage of profits from borrowing. Old Republic Interna has a current ratio of 0.56, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Old to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| About 71.0% of Old Republic shares are owned by institutional investors | |
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Old Republic Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Old Republic's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Old Republic's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Old Republic daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Old Republic International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Old Republic returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Old Republic.
| Mean Return | 0.16 | Value At Risk | -1.52 | Potential Upside | 1.48 | Standard Deviation | 1.09 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Old Republic historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Old Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2024-06-30 | 3 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 2.8 M | Miller Howard Investments Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.3 M | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 2.1 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 2 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.7 M | Lsv Asset Management | 2024-09-30 | 1.7 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 1.6 M | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.5 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 29.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 25.8 M |
Old Republic Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (21.5M) | 39.9M | 39.4M | (77.1M) | 121.8M | 127.9M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 936.2M | 1.2B | 1.3B | 1.2B | 880.4M | 584.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (682M) | 157.9M | (931.6M) | 169.3M | 138.4M | 145.3M | |
| Dividends Paid | 538.7M | 250.1M | 1.0B | 579.7M | (275.5M) | (261.7M) | |
| Net Income | 1.1B | 558.6M | 1.5B | 686.4M | 598.6M | 365.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 78.8M | 118.7M | 158.1M | 81M | 202.8M | 178.3M | |
| Change To Netincome | (662.7M) | (14.2M) | (785.1M) | (62.2M) | (56.0M) | (58.8M) | |
| Investments | (423.3M) | (844.8M) | (889.4M) | (2.6B) | 79.1M | 83.1M | |
| Change Receivables | 22.8M | (46.4M) | (137.9M) | (11.4M) | (10.3M) | (10.8M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (4.7M) | (8.4M) | (8.6M) | 620.8M | 713.9M | 749.6M | |
| Depreciation | 27.6M | 26.8M | 26.9M | 28.3M | 33M | 25.7M |
Old Republic Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Old Republic or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Old Republic's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Old stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Old Republic Volatility Alert
Old Republic International has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.27 and kurtosis of 3.82. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Old Republic's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Old Republic's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Old Republic Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Old Republic's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Old Republic's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Old Republic and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Old Republic or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Old Republic's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Old Republic by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Old Republic to competition |
| Fundamentals | Old Republic | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.15 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0286 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.11 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.19 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 11.35 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 253.56 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 8.02 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 71.37 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.55 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 9.33 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.53 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.21 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 7.26 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 5.64 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 598.6 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 598.6 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.47 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.85 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.59 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.28 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.57 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 25.46 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 880.4 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.30 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.49 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.85) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 38.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 9.2 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.9 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 9.88 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 26.5 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 5.64 B | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.03 % |
Note: Disposition of 3131 shares by Thomas Dare of Old Republic at 31.3 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Old Republic Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Old . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Old Republic Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Old Republic International? Buying financial instruments such as Old Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Check out Old Republic Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Old Republic. If investors know Old will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Old Republic listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.952 | Dividend Share 1.04 | Earnings Share 3.49 | Revenue Per Share 30.853 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.33 |
The market value of Old Republic Interna is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Old that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Old Republic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Old Republic's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Old Republic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Old Republic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Old Republic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Old Republic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Old Republic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.