New York Mortgage Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NYMT Stock  USD 6.79  0.09  1.31%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding New York Mortgage is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell New York Mortgage given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for New York Mortgage, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out New York Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as New and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. New York Mortgage. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Execute New York Buy or Sell Advice

The New recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on New York Mortgage. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in New York Mortgage or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute New York's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

3  Months

Risk Tolerance

I am an educated risk taker
Execute Advice
Sell New YorkBuy New York
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15
Strong Buy

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

About AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon New York Mortgage has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0631, Jensen Alpha of 0.1823, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2916, Sortino Ratio of 0.1002 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1608
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on New York Mortgage. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure New York Mortgage is not overpriced, please verify all New York Mortgage fundamentals, including its book value per share, and the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Given that New York Mortgage has a price to earning of 6.03 X, we recommend you to check New York market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

New York Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 83.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (93.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 37.13 M.
About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: New York Mortgage Trust, Inc. to Issue Quarterly Dividend of 0.50

New York current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. New analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. New analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Strong Buy22.22%Buy11.11%Hold66.67%100%
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

New York Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of New York's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of New York's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of New York daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use New York Mortgage price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of New York returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for New York.
Mean Return
0.14
Value At Risk
-2.71
Potential Upside
3.87
Standard Deviation
2.15
   Return Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15-8.37-6.25-4.13-2.120.02.074.136.318.4910.66VARUpside 0.020.040.060.08
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15GOOGLE
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of New York historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

New Stock Institutional Investors

The New York's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase New York's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
820.6 K
Van Eck Associates Corporation2024-12-31
808.5 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
792.4 K
Wolverine Asset Management Llc2024-12-31
631.3 K
Jane Street Group Llc2024-12-31
479.4 K
Principal Financial Group Inc2024-12-31
439.3 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-12-31
399.5 K
Rhumbline Advisers2024-12-31
277.1 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-12-31
270.8 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
15.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
6.4 M
Note, although New York's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

New York Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash182.9M33.4M43.1M(50.3M)(1.6M)(1.5M)
Free Cash Flow110.5M(347.9M)(117.6M)(20.4M)4.6M4.8M
Depreciation14.7M51.4M153.0M24.6M20.2M11.0M
Other Non Cash Items308.2M(117.1M)296.3M120.1M81.7M85.8M
Dividends Paid146.6M194.8M193.2M170.7M116.7M82.7M
Capital Expenditures206K486.8M209.4M50.5M9.5M9.0M
Net Income(288.2M)188.5M(340.6M)(48.7M)(94.0M)(89.3M)
End Period Cash Flow304.5M337.9M380.9M330.6M329.0M345.5M
Investments1.6B(122.9M)(306.3M)(531.1M)(2.2B)(2.1B)
Net Borrowings922.6M(2.8B)84.9M(70.6M)(63.6M)(60.4M)
Change To Netincome(87.6M)421.9M(42.7M)335.9M386.3M405.6M

New York Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to New York or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that New York's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a New stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.80
σ
Overall volatility
1.97
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

New York Volatility Alert

New York Mortgage has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.58 and kurtosis of 1.51. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure New York's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact New York's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

New York Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing New York's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze New York's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between New York and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as New York or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of New York's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing New York by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare New York to competition
FundamentalsNew YorkPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0618-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0113-0.14
Profit Margin(0.43) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(74.42) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation8.57 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding90.57 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders7.22 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions59.92 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.77 M4.71 M
Price To Earning6.03 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.72 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.29 X11.42 X
Revenue83.86 M9.43 B
Gross Profit37.13 M27.38 B
EBITDA254.5 M3.9 B
Net Income(93.95 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents407.1 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.08 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.56 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.27 %48.70 %
Current Ratio52.15 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share9.49 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations14.07 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.46 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.14) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.97 X4.89 X
Target Price9.5
Number Of Employees7018.84 K
Beta1.99-0.15
Market Capitalization614.95 M19.03 B
Total Asset9.22 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.43 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(957.91 M)1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 20536 shares by Jason Serrano of New York at 6.06 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

New York Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as New . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About New York Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell New York Mortgage? Buying financial instruments such as New Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having New York in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Additional Tools for New Stock Analysis

When running New York's price analysis, check to measure New York's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy New York is operating at the current time. Most of New York's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of New York's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move New York's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of New York to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.