Novartis Ag Adr Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NVS Stock | USD 109.06 0.05 0.05% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Novartis AG ADR is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Novartis AG ADR given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Novartis AG ADR, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Novartis Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Novartis and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Novartis AG ADR. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
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Execute Novartis Buy or Sell Advice
The Novartis recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Novartis AG ADR. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Novartis AG ADR or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Novartis' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Novartis Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Circulating DNA RNA Patent Landscape Report and Forecast 2024-2032 Nantomics, Genentech, and Novartis are Pivotal in the Development of the 16.4 Billion Market |
Novartis Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Novartis' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Novartis' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Novartis daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Novartis AG ADR price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Novartis returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Novartis.
| Mean Return | 0.16 | Value At Risk | -2.12 | Potential Upside | 2.25 | Standard Deviation | 1.31 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Novartis historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Novartis Stock Institutional Investors
The Novartis' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Novartis' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 2.3 M | Cullen Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 2.2 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 2.1 M | Fisher Asset Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 2 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 2 M | Envestnet Asset Management Inc | 2024-12-31 | 1.9 M | Wells Fargo & Co | 2024-12-31 | 1.9 M | Ubs Group Ag | 2024-12-31 | 1.7 M | State Street Corp | 2024-12-31 | 1.6 M | Dodge & Cox | 2024-12-31 | 12.2 M | Primecap Management Company | 2024-12-31 | 11 M |
Novartis Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (1.5B) | 2.7B | (4.9B) | 5.9B | (1.9B) | (1.8B) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 11.1B | 12.1B | 11.6B | 11.7B | 13.8B | 9.3B | |
| Depreciation | 6.5B | 6.1B | 7.2B | 8.3B | 6.1B | 4.3B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (3.1B) | (18.2B) | (1.1B) | (3.4B) | (2.4B) | (2.5B) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.6B | 3.0B | 2.7B | 2.8B | 3.8B | 2.7B | |
| Net Income | 8.1B | 24.0B | 7.0B | 8.6B | 11.9B | 8.9B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 9.7B | 12.4B | 7.5B | 13.4B | 11.5B | 7.9B | |
| Change To Inventory | (543M) | 81M | (830M) | (546M) | (225M) | (236.3M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 7.0B | 7.4B | 7.5B | 7.3B | 7.6B | 5.2B | |
| Investments | (13.2B) | 6.8B | 1.5B | 5.9B | (7.5B) | (7.1B) | |
| Net Borrowings | (5.0B) | 7.1B | (6.0B) | (2.6B) | (2.3B) | (2.2B) | |
| Change To Netincome | (2.1B) | 2.8B | (13.5B) | 3.7B | 3.3B | 3.5B |
Novartis Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Novartis or Pharmaceuticals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Novartis' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Novartis stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
Novartis Volatility Alert
Novartis AG ADR has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.11 and kurtosis of 1.46. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Novartis' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Novartis' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Novartis Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Novartis' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Novartis' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Novartis and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Novartis or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Novartis' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Novartis by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Novartis to competition |
| Fundamentals | Novartis | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.26 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.1 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.23 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.30 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 233.69 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.98 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 6.76 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.04 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 9.22 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 4.89 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.17 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 51.72 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 38.91 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 20.71 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 11.94 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 4.64 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 8.84 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 31.26 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.47 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.31 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 22.30 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 17.62 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.17 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 5.87 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.26 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 108.96 | |
| Number Of Employees | 75.88 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.49 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 215.56 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 102.25 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 49.65 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.01 B | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 22.84 B | 9.34 B |
Novartis Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Novartis . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Novartis Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Novartis AG ADR? Buying financial instruments such as Novartis Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Novartis in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Single Stock ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Single Stock ETFs theme has 136 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Single Stock ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Novartis Stock Analysis
When running Novartis' price analysis, check to measure Novartis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Novartis is operating at the current time. Most of Novartis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Novartis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Novartis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Novartis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.