Nova Organic (Thailand) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NV Stock | 0.87 0.03 3.33% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your bold attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Nova Organic PCL is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Nova Organic's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Nova Organic Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Nova and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Nova Organic PCL. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
Nova |
Execute Nova Organic Buy or Sell Advice
The Nova recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Nova Organic PCL. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Nova Organic PCL or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Nova Organic's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Extremely Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Quite High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Nova Organic Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Nova Organic PCL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nova Organic PCL has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Nova Organic PCL has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Nova Organic PCL has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Nova Organic generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Nova Organic Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Nova Organic's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Nova Organic's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Nova Organic daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Nova Organic PCL price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Nova Organic returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Nova Organic.
| Mean Return | -0.22 | Value At Risk | -3.97 | Potential Upside | 5.45 | Standard Deviation | 3.35 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Nova Organic historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Nova Organic Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Nova Organic or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Nova Organic's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Nova stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.80 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Nova Organic Volatility Alert
Nova Organic PCL exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.96 and kurtosis of 6.09. Nova Organic PCL is a potential penny stock. Although Nova Organic may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Nova Organic PCL. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Nova instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.Nova Organic Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Nova Organic's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Nova Organic's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Nova Organic and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Nova Organic or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Nova Organic's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nova Organic by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Nova Organic to competition |
| Fundamentals | Nova Organic | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0497 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0328 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.06) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.08) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 648.16 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 600 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 74.48 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 3.10 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 1.07 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.82 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.24 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 770.24 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 107.14 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 80.35 M | 570.98 M |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.34 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (158.85 M) | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.01 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 2 | 18.84 K |
| Market Capitalization | 1.84 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.82 B | 29.47 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.27 % | |
| Net Asset | 1.82 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.35 |
Nova Organic Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Nova . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Nova Organic Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Nova Organic PCL? Buying financial instruments such as Nova Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in Nova Stock
Nova Organic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nova Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nova with respect to the benefits of owning Nova Organic security.