Northland Power Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NPI Stock  CAD 18.95  0.39  2.02%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Northland Power is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Northland Power's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Northland Power Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Northland and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Northland Power. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Northland Power Buy or Sell Advice

The Northland recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Northland Power. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Northland Power or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Northland Power's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Northland PowerBuy Northland Power
Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Northland Power has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0261, Jensen Alpha of 0.0681, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2748, Sortino Ratio of 0.079 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1176
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Northland Power and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Northland Power is not overpriced, please verify all Northland Power fundamentals, including its revenue, current ratio, market capitalization, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and earnings per share .

Northland Power Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Northland Power is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Northland Power has accumulated 878.6 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.12, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Northland Power has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Northland Power until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Northland Power's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Northland Power sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Northland to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Northland Power's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Financial Trading Report - Stock Traders Daily

Northland Power Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Northland Power's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Northland Power's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Northland Power daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Northland Power price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Northland Power returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Northland Power.
Mean Return
0.05
Value At Risk
-3.17
Potential Upside
2.89
Standard Deviation
1.91
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Northland Power historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Northland Power Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash166.8M238.7M626.1M(657.4M)(126.9M)(120.6M)
Free Cash Flow1.1B1.1B1.3B343.1M476.8M500.6M
Other Non Cash Items353.8M347.3M(143.3M)799.5M264.2M155.4M
Dividends Paid231.6M183.6M208.1M211.2M206.7M124.0M
Capital Expenditures226.6M469.8M523.1M442.2M552.2M484.3M
Net Income485.1M269.9M955.5M(96.1M)271.8M144.9M
End Period Cash Flow435.0M673.7M1.3B642.5M613.3M644.0M
Depreciation572.9M636.0M624.7M652.6M673.7M367.0M
Net Borrowings76.1M(51.2M)(682.0M)(706.8M)(636.1M)(604.3M)
Change To Netincome382.3M379.3M458.7M62.5M71.9M68.3M
Investments(839.3M)(1.0B)(629.7M)(1.9B)(448.8M)(471.3M)

Northland Power Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Northland Power or Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Northland Power's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Northland stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
1.90
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Northland Power Volatility Alert

Northland Power has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.46 and kurtosis of 1.19. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Northland Power's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Northland Power's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Northland Power Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Northland Power's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Northland Power's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Northland Power and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Northland Power or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Northland Power's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Northland Power by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Northland Power to competition
FundamentalsNorthland PowerPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0822-0.31
Return On Asset0.0394-0.14
Profit Margin0.12 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.39 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation11.68 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding261 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.09 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions45.70 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.57 M4.71 M
Price To Earning22.66 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.22 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.10 X11.42 X
Revenue2.35 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.71 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.53 B3.9 B
Net Income271.82 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.3 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.03 X5.01 X
Total Debt878.6 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity4.12 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.82 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share15.55 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.03 B971.22 M
Short Ratio3.70 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.03 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.64 X4.89 X
Target Price27.82
Beta0.46-0.15
Market Capitalization4.95 B19.03 B
Total Asset13.6 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.2 B)9.33 B
Working Capital60.97 M1.48 B
Current Asset593.29 M9.34 B

Northland Power Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Northland . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Northland Power Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Northland Power? Buying financial instruments such as Northland Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Northland Stock

Northland Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northland Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northland with respect to the benefits of owning Northland Power security.