Natural Gas Services Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NGS Stock  USD 22.64  0.45  2.03%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Natural Gas Services is 'Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Natural Gas Services given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Natural Gas Services, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Natural Gas Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Natural and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Natural Gas Services. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Natural Gas Buy or Sell Advice

The Natural recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Natural Gas Services. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Natural Gas Services or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Natural Gas' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Natural GasBuy Natural Gas
Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Natural Gas Services has a Mean Deviation of 2.18, Standard Deviation of 2.82 and Variance of 7.92
Our advice module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Natural Gas Services. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Natural Gas Services is not overpriced, please verify all Natural Gas Services fundamentals, including its gross profit, short ratio, current asset, as well as the relationship between the total debt and beta . Given that Natural Gas Services has a price to earning of 80.66 X, we recommend you to check Natural Gas market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Natural Gas Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Natural Gas Services generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Inspire Advisors LLC Invests 424,000 in Natural Gas Services Group, Inc.

Natural Gas Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Natural Gas' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Natural Gas' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Natural Gas daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Natural Gas Services price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Natural Gas returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Natural Gas.
Mean Return
-0.17
Value At Risk
-5.17
Potential Upside
4.81
Standard Deviation
2.82
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Natural Gas historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Natural Stock Institutional Investors

The Natural Gas' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Natural Gas' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc2024-12-31
229.3 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
224.5 K
Acuitas Investments, Llc2024-12-31
200.2 K
State Street Corp2024-12-31
173.4 K
Rbf Llc2024-12-31
140 K
Acadian Asset Management Llc2024-12-31
138.6 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
116 K
Crown Advisors Management, Inc.2024-12-31
100 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
96.5 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-12-31
902.2 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
859.9 K
Note, although Natural Gas' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Natural Gas Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory1.0M(1.3M)(4.1M)(669K)(769.4K)(807.8K)
Change In Cash17.3M(6.0M)(19.6M)(626K)(563.4K)(535.2K)
Free Cash Flow17.4M2.8M(37.4M)(135.9M)(122.3M)(116.2M)
Depreciation25.2M25.4M24.1M26.6M30.5M16.2M
Other Non Cash Items352K2.9M466K5.9M6.8M7.1M
Capital Expenditures15.3M25.7M65.1M153.9M177.0M185.9M
Net Income1.8M(9.2M)(569K)4.7M4.3M4.7M
End Period Cash Flow28.9M22.9M3.4M2.7M3.2M3.0M
Change To Netincome2.3M16.8M13.2M2.0M2.3M4.4M
Change Receivables1.5M(2.6M)(3.1M)1.4M1.6M1.7M
Net Borrowings(35K)(16K)(5K)(417K)(479.6K)(455.6K)
Investments(15.2M)(25.7M)(65.1M)(158.4M)(142.6M)(135.5M)

Natural Gas Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Natural Gas or Energy Equipment & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Natural Gas' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Natural stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.08
σ
Overall volatility
2.78
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Natural Gas Volatility Alert

Natural Gas Services exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.04 and kurtosis of 0.09. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Natural Gas' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Natural Gas' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Natural Gas Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Natural Gas' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Natural Gas' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Natural Gas and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Natural Gas or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Natural Gas' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Natural Gas by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Natural Gas to competition
FundamentalsNatural GasPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0662-0.31
Return On Asset0.0478-0.14
Profit Margin0.11 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.24 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation445.37 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding12.49 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders6.00 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions84.70 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted159.06 K4.71 M
Price To Earning80.66 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.13 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.86 X11.42 X
Revenue121.17 M9.43 B
Gross Profit85.27 M27.38 B
EBITDA37.25 M3.9 B
Net Income4.75 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents3.37 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.80 X5.01 X
Total Debt164 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.51 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share20.21 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations18.03 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.88 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.28 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth12.99 X4.89 X
Target Price36.25
Number Of Employees26618.84 K
Beta1.14-0.15
Market Capitalization282.78 M19.03 B
Total Asset478.73 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings134.28 M9.33 B
Working Capital43.56 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by John Chisholm of 25000 shares of Natural Gas at 15.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Natural Gas Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Natural . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Natural Gas Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Natural Gas Services? Buying financial instruments such as Natural Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Natural Stock Analysis

When running Natural Gas' price analysis, check to measure Natural Gas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natural Gas is operating at the current time. Most of Natural Gas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natural Gas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natural Gas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natural Gas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.