National Grid Plc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NGG Stock | USD 63.21 0.89 1.43% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding National Grid PLC is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides National Grid buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NGG positions.
Check out National Grid Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as National and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. National Grid PLC. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
National |
Execute National Grid Buy or Sell Advice
The National recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on National Grid PLC. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in National Grid PLC or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute National Grid's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
National Grid Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| National Grid PLC has 47.07 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.95, which is OK given its current industry classification. National Grid PLC has a current ratio of 0.72, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for National to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: A Closer Look At National Grid plcs Uninspiring ROE |
National Grid Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of National Grid's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of National Grid's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of National Grid daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use National Grid PLC price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of National Grid returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for National Grid.
| Mean Return | 0.06 | Value At Risk | -2.38 | Potential Upside | 2.34 | Standard Deviation | 1.33 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of National Grid historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
National Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 3 | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Wells Fargo & Co | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Merewether Investment Management, Lp | 2024-12-31 | 1.1 M | Lpl Financial Corp | 2024-12-31 | 781.6 K | Clark Capital Management Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 711.6 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 706.3 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-12-31 | 665.1 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-12-31 | 631.6 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-12-31 | 537.3 K | Fmr Inc | 2024-12-31 | 4.5 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-12-31 | 3.3 M |
National Grid Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 84M | 25M | (19M) | 396M | 356.4M | 374.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 252M | 1.2B | 573M | (514M) | (591.1M) | (561.5M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.5B | 2.4B | (2.6B) | 538M | 618.7M | 649.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 4.2B | 5.1B | 6.3B | 7.5B | 8.6B | 9.0B | |
| Net Income | 1.6B | 2.4B | 7.8B | 4.5B | 5.1B | 2.7B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 157M | 182M | 163M | 559M | 642.9M | 675.0M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.4B | 922M | 1.6B | 1.7B | 2.0B | 1.2B | |
| Investments | (550M) | (615M) | 240M | (7.5B) | (8.6B) | (9.1B) | |
| Net Borrowings | 1.1B | 420M | 3.1B | 11.0B | 12.6B | 13.2B | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.2B | 1.2B | 1.1B | 1.7B | 1.5B | 849.9M |
National Grid Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to National Grid or Multi-Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that National Grid's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a National stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
National Grid Volatility Alert
National Grid PLC has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.05 and kurtosis of 0.22. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure National Grid's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact National Grid's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.National Grid Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing National Grid's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze National Grid's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between National Grid and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as National Grid or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of National Grid's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing National Grid by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare National Grid to competition |
| Fundamentals | National Grid | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0528 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0316 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.17 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 109.8 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 978.45 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.01 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 4.55 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.46 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 21.35 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.33 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.20 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 19.85 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 19.32 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 6.83 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 4.47 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash Per Share | 4.59 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 47.07 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.95 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.73 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 7.92 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 6.94 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.43 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.65 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.01 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 68.93 | |
| Number Of Employees | 31.43 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.28 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 61.85 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 98.33 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 32.07 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (1.01 B) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 6.42 B | 9.34 B |
National Grid Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as National . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About National Grid Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell National Grid PLC? Buying financial instruments such as National Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having National Grid in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Large Growth Funds Thematic Idea Now
Large Growth Funds
Funds or Etfs that invest in stocks of large-sized companies with above-average risk and growth rate. The Large Growth Funds theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Large Growth Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out National Grid Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Multi-Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Grid. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Grid listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | Dividend Share 0.55 | Earnings Share 2.65 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of National Grid PLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Grid's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Grid's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Grid's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Grid's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Grid's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Grid is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Grid's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.