New Gold Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NGD Stock  USD 2.72  0.12  4.23%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding New Gold is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides New Gold buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding New Gold positions.
  
Check out New Gold Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade New Stock refer to our How to Trade New Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as New and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. New Gold. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute New Gold Buy or Sell Advice

The New recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on New Gold. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in New Gold or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute New Gold's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell New GoldBuy New Gold
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

UnstableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon New Gold has a Mean Deviation of 2.45, Semi Deviation of 2.94, Standard Deviation of 3.17, Variance of 10.05, Downside Variance of 10.51 and Semi Variance of 8.63
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on New Gold. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure New Gold is not overpriced, please verify all New Gold fundamentals, including its total debt, earnings per share, and the relationship between the net income and book value per share . Please also check out New Gold number of shares shorted to check your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

New Gold Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

New Gold had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
New Gold has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: New Gold Inc Reports Strong 2024 Financial Results

New Gold Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of New Gold's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of New Gold's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of New Gold daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use New Gold price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of New Gold returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for New Gold.
Mean Return
0.08
Value At Risk
-5.26
Potential Upside
5.32
Standard Deviation
3.17
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of New Gold historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

New Gold Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash102.9M295.2M(280.7M)(15.3M)(80.3M)(76.3M)
Free Cash Flow10.6M76.4M(102.2M)21.7M121.7M127.8M
Depreciation295.8M133.3M195.9M239.8M275.8M289.6M
Other Non Cash Items55.4M27.6M50.1M345.4M(33.7M)(32.0M)
Capital Expenditures284.2M247.3M292.9M265.9M271.1M210.4M
Net Income(79.3M)140.6M(66.8M)(65.7M)102.6M107.7M
End Period Cash Flow186.3M481.5M200.8M185.5M105.2M201.2M
Change To Inventory16.2M10.6M(4.8M)(32M)(6.6M)2.9M
Investments(173.2M)(36.4M)(281.9M)(244.6M)(263.4M)(250.2M)
Net Borrowings(83M)(262.6M)(10.4M)(111.9M)(100.7M)(95.7M)
Change To Netincome72.4M159M(18.6M)48M55.2M81.2M

New Gold Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to New Gold or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that New Gold's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a New stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.66
σ
Overall volatility
3.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

New Gold Volatility Alert

New Gold shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure New Gold's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact New Gold's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

New Gold Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing New Gold's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze New Gold's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between New Gold and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as New Gold or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of New Gold's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing New Gold by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare New Gold to competition
FundamentalsNew GoldPeer Average
Return On Equity0.11-0.31
Return On Asset0.0518-0.14
Profit Margin0.11 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.29 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.54 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding791.3 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.97 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions62.25 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted7.98 M4.71 M
Price To Earning5.07 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.13 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.33 X11.42 X
Revenue924.5 M9.43 B
Gross Profit488.2 M27.38 B
EBITDA428.5 M3.9 B
Net Income102.6 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents33.1 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.48 X5.01 X
Total Debt951.5 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.41 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.81 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.33 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations392.8 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.90 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.14 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(2.09) X4.89 X
Target Price3.49
Beta1.64-0.15
Market Capitalization2.16 B19.03 B
Total Asset2 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(2.36 B)9.33 B
Working Capital77.5 M1.48 B
Current Asset614.6 M9.34 B

New Gold Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as New . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About New Gold Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell New Gold? Buying financial instruments such as New Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2024 2025 (projected)
Working Capital265.4K235.9K
Market Cap393.3M340.1M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having New Gold in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Large & Mid Caps ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Large & Mid Caps ETFs
Large & Mid Caps ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Large & Mid Caps ETFs theme has 68 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Large & Mid Caps ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether New Gold is a strong investment it is important to analyze New Gold's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact New Gold's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding New Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out New Gold Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade New Stock refer to our How to Trade New Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of New Gold. If investors know New will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about New Gold listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.14
Revenue Per Share
1.229
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.316
Return On Assets
0.0518
Return On Equity
0.1114
The market value of New Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of New that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of New Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is New Gold's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because New Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect New Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between New Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if New Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, New Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.