Neurocrine Biosciences Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NBIX Stock  USD 110.75  1.76  1.61%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Neurocrine Biosciences is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Neurocrine Biosciences given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Neurocrine Biosciences, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Neurocrine Biosciences Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Neurocrine Stock please use our How to Invest in Neurocrine Biosciences guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Neurocrine and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Neurocrine Biosciences. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Execute Neurocrine Biosciences Buy or Sell Advice

The Neurocrine recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Neurocrine Biosciences. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Neurocrine Biosciences or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Neurocrine Biosciences' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Neurocrine BiosciencesBuy Neurocrine Biosciences
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Neurocrine Biosciences has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), Jensen Alpha of (0.13), Total Risk Alpha of 0.1594 and Treynor Ratio of (0.37)
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on Neurocrine Biosciences to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Neurocrine Biosciences. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Neurocrine Biosciences is not overpriced, please verify all Neurocrine Biosciences fundamentals, including its book value per share, and the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Given that Neurocrine Biosciences has a price to earning of 202.90 X, we recommend you to check Neurocrine Biosciences market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Neurocrine Biosciences Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Neurocrine Biosciences generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Neurocrine Biosciences has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Brokerages Set Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. Price Target at 166.90

Neurocrine Biosciences Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Neurocrine Biosciences' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Neurocrine Biosciences' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Neurocrine Biosciences daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Neurocrine Biosciences price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Neurocrine Biosciences returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Neurocrine Biosciences.
Mean Return
-0.18
Value At Risk
-3.11
Potential Upside
2.19
Standard Deviation
2.78
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Neurocrine Biosciences historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Neurocrine Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Neurocrine Biosciences, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Neurocrine Biosciences back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-12-31
1.5 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-12-31
1.4 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-12-31
1.1 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
983.8 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
981.9 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-12-31
949.5 K
Bnp Paribas Investment Partners Sa2024-12-31
944.7 K
Orbimed Advisors, Llc2024-12-31
938.1 K
Dsm Capital Partners Llc2024-12-31
932.6 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
14.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
10.1 M
Note, although Neurocrine Biosciences' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Neurocrine Biosciences Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash74.8M153.7M(73.3M)(11.6M)(18.1M)(17.2M)
Free Cash Flow217.6M233.1M322.9M361.6M557.2M585.1M
Depreciation8.6M10.9M15.6M21.3M(2.7M)(2.6M)
Other Non Cash Items61.2M800K44.5M(46.9M)184.4M193.6M
Capital Expenditures10.9M23.4M16.5M28.3M38.2M40.1M
Net Income407.3M89.6M154.5M249.7M341.3M358.4M
End Period Cash Flow190.3M344M270.7M259.1M241M253.1M
Change To Inventory(10.7M)(2.5M)(2.6M)5.4M(19.1M)(20.1M)
Investments15M(102.2M)(110.2M)(380.9M)(126.8M)(133.1M)
Change Receivables(69.2M)(30.5M)(28.4M)(162.2M)(146.0M)(138.7M)
Change To Netincome76.0M(188.6M)142.9M266.3M306.2M321.6M

Neurocrine Biosciences Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Neurocrine Biosciences or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Neurocrine Biosciences' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Neurocrine stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.51
σ
Overall volatility
2.81
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Neurocrine Biosciences Volatility Alert

Neurocrine Biosciences exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -4.42 and kurtosis of 29.29. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Neurocrine Biosciences' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Neurocrine Biosciences' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Neurocrine Biosciences Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Neurocrine Biosciences' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Neurocrine Biosciences' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Neurocrine Biosciences and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Neurocrine Biosciences or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Neurocrine Biosciences' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Neurocrine Biosciences by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Neurocrine Biosciences to competition
FundamentalsNeurocrine BiosciencesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.14-0.31
Return On Asset0.1-0.14
Profit Margin0.14 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.21 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation10.25 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding99.7 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.02 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions97.78 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.04 M4.71 M
Price To Earning202.90 X28.72 X
Price To Book4.20 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.69 X11.42 X
Revenue2.36 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.59 B27.38 B
EBITDA610.1 M3.9 B
Net Income341.3 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents799.4 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share8.31 X5.01 X
Total Debt455.1 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.18 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.48 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share26.05 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations595.4 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.02 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.29 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.27 X4.89 X
Target Price164.37
Number Of Employees1.8 K18.84 K
Beta0.35-0.15
Market Capitalization11.04 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.72 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings29.2 M9.33 B
Working Capital1.22 B1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Roberts Eiry of 1860 shares of Neurocrine Biosciences subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Neurocrine Biosciences Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Neurocrine . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Neurocrine Biosciences Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Neurocrine Biosciences? Buying financial instruments such as Neurocrine Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Neurocrine Biosciences in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Tech Growth
Tech Growth Theme
Instruments that are typically traded at high earnings multiples compared to their competitors and other sectors and have been known to drive market cycles frequently. The Tech Growth theme has 58 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Tech Growth Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Neurocrine Stock Analysis

When running Neurocrine Biosciences' price analysis, check to measure Neurocrine Biosciences' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Neurocrine Biosciences is operating at the current time. Most of Neurocrine Biosciences' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Neurocrine Biosciences' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Neurocrine Biosciences' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Neurocrine Biosciences to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.