Natures Sunshine Products Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NATR Stock  USD 12.65  0.04  0.32%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Natures Sunshine Products is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Natures Sunshine Products within the specified time frame.
  
Check out Natures Sunshine Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Natures and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Natures Sunshine Products. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Natures Sunshine Buy or Sell Advice

The Natures recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Natures Sunshine Products. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Natures Sunshine Products or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Natures Sunshine's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

30  Days

Risk Tolerance

I am an educated risk taker
Execute Advice
Sell Natures SunshineBuy Natures Sunshine
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Natures Sunshine Products has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), Jensen Alpha of (0.21), Total Risk Alpha of (0.10) and Treynor Ratio of (0.38)
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Natures Sunshine Products and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Natures Sunshine Products is not overpriced, please verify all Natures Sunshine Products fundamentals, including its gross profit, short ratio, current liabilities, as well as the relationship between the total debt and market capitalization . Given that Natures Sunshine Products has a price to earning of 8.42 X, we recommend you to check Natures Sunshine market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Natures Sunshine Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Natures Sunshine generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Natures Sunshine Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Natures Sunshine's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Natures Sunshine's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Natures Sunshine daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Natures Sunshine Products price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Natures Sunshine returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Natures Sunshine.
Mean Return
-0.23
Value At Risk
-3.34
Potential Upside
3.43
Standard Deviation
2.18
   Return Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15-8.78-6.55-4.33-2.22-0.112.024.056.188.3110.44VARUpside 0.020.040.060.08
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15GOOGLE
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Natures Sunshine historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Natures Sunshine Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Natures Sunshine or Personal Care Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Natures Sunshine's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Natures stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.64
σ
Overall volatility
2.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Natures Sunshine Volatility Alert

Natures Sunshine Products exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.13 and kurtosis of 1.13. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Natures Sunshine's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Natures Sunshine's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Natures Sunshine Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Natures Sunshine's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Natures Sunshine's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Natures Sunshine and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Natures Sunshine or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Natures Sunshine's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Natures Sunshine by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Natures Sunshine to competition
FundamentalsNatures SunshinePeer Average
Return On Equity0.0492-0.31
Return On Asset0.0512-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.04 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation162.58 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding18.48 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders21.18 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions67.58 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted62.23 K4.71 M
Price To Earning8.42 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.50 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.51 X11.42 X
Revenue100 K9.43 B
Gross Profit324.69 M27.38 B
EBITDA4.5 K3.9 B
Net Income7.89 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents56.34 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.93 X5.01 X
Total Debt14.2 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.15 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.13 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share8.40 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations25.3 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.18 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.40 X3.12 X
Target Price22.25
Number Of Employees81918.84 K
Beta0.9-0.15
Market Capitalization233.82 M19.03 B
Total Asset240.85 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings57.41 M9.33 B
Working Capital94.89 M1.48 B
Current Asset101.52 M9.34 B
Note: Disposition of 3787 shares by Martin Gonzalez of Natures Sunshine at 15.55 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Natures Sunshine Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Natures . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Natures Sunshine Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Natures Sunshine Products? Buying financial instruments such as Natures Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Natures Sunshine in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Munis Funds
Munis Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in fixed income securities issued by states, cities, and towns as well as other public entities. The Munis Funds theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Munis Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Natures Stock Analysis

When running Natures Sunshine's price analysis, check to measure Natures Sunshine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natures Sunshine is operating at the current time. Most of Natures Sunshine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natures Sunshine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natures Sunshine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natures Sunshine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.