Mystate (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MYS Stock   4.37  0.09  2.02%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Mystate is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Mystate given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Mystate, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Mystate Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Mystate and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Mystate. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Mystate Buy or Sell Advice

The Mystate recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mystate. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mystate or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mystate's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell MystateBuy Mystate
Strong Sell

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Mystate has a Mean Deviation of 1.11, Semi Deviation of 0.9523, Standard Deviation of 1.36, Variance of 1.85, Downside Variance of 1.6 and Semi Variance of 0.907
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Mystate. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Mystate is not overpriced, please verify all Mystate fundamentals, including its price to sales, gross profit, net income, as well as the relationship between the revenue and ebitda .

Mystate Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Mystate's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mystate's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mystate daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mystate price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mystate returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mystate.
Mean Return
0.27
Value At Risk
-1.83
Potential Upside
2.63
Standard Deviation
1.36
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mystate historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Mystate Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Capital Expenditures5.1M4.8M5.0M5.2M12.5M13.1M
Net Income30.1M36.3M32.0M38.5M35.3M31.4M
End Period Cash Flow116.5M80.3M119.2M127.8M114.5M81.8M
Change In Cash36.5M(36.2M)38.9M8.6M(13.2M)(12.6M)
Free Cash Flow(347.5M)(452.3M)(1.5B)(948.8M)18.9M19.8M
Depreciation4.1M4.3M3.3M5.5M7.3M3.8M
Other Non Cash Items(376.8M)(488.6M)(1.5B)(987.9M)35.3M37.1M
Dividends Paid22.4M11.7M24.6M10.6M22.2M16.1M
Investments(5.1M)(4.8M)(278K)(5.2M)(12.5M)(13.1M)
Net Borrowings118K110K47.1M113.1M101.8M77.8M
Change To Netincome(667K)2.1M(376K)(4.4M)(3.9M)(3.7M)

Mystate Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mystate or Thrifts & Mortgage Finance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mystate's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mystate stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
1.31
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Mystate Volatility Alert

Mystate has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.09 and kurtosis of -0.7. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mystate's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mystate's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Mystate Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Mystate's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mystate's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mystate and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mystate or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mystate's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mystate by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Mystate to competition
FundamentalsMystatePeer Average
Return On Equity0.0765-0.31
Return On Asset0.0039-0.14
Profit Margin0.23 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.33 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.65 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding110.94 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders5.31 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions14.17 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.04 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.22 X11.42 X
Revenue150.54 M9.43 B
Gross Profit141.25 M27.38 B
EBITDA61.26 M3.9 B
Net Income35.29 M570.98 M
Total Debt2.25 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share4.20 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations31.34 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.28 X3.12 X
Target Price4.77
Beta0.96-0.15
Market Capitalization487.04 M19.03 B
Total Asset9.17 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings233.5 M9.33 B
Annual Yield0.05 %
Net Asset9.17 B
Last Dividend Paid0.23

Mystate Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mystate . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Mystate Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Mystate? Buying financial instruments such as Mystate Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Mystate in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Treasury ETFs
Treasury ETFs Theme
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Additional Tools for Mystate Stock Analysis

When running Mystate's price analysis, check to measure Mystate's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mystate is operating at the current time. Most of Mystate's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mystate's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mystate's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mystate to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.