Mueller Water Products Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MWA Stock  USD 27.25  0.94  3.57%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Mueller Water Products is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Mueller Water buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MWA positions.
  
Check out Mueller Water Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Mueller and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Mueller Water Products. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.

Execute Mueller Water Buy or Sell Advice

The Mueller recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mueller Water Products. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mueller Water Products or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mueller Water's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Mueller WaterBuy Mueller Water
Strong Buy

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Mueller Water Products has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0378, Jensen Alpha of 0.2295, Total Risk Alpha of 0.5443, Sortino Ratio of 0.1478 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0903
Our advice module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Mueller Water Products. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Mueller Water Products is not overpriced, please verify all Mueller Water Products fundamentals, including its net income, short ratio, and the relationship between the price to sales and debt to equity . Given that Mueller Water Products has a price to earning of 24.39 X, we recommend you to check Mueller Water market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Mueller Water Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 21st of February 2025 Mueller Water paid $ 0.067 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Mueller Water Products five-year earnings growth trails the 31 percent YoY shareholder returns

Mueller Water Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Mueller Water's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mueller Water's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mueller Water daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mueller Water Products price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mueller Water returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mueller Water.
Mean Return
0.1
Value At Risk
-2.38
Potential Upside
3.31
Standard Deviation
2.70
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mueller Water historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Mueller Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Principal Financial Group Inc2024-12-31
M
Gamco Investors, Inc. Et Al2024-12-31
2.9 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-12-31
2.7 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-12-31
2.6 M
Ubs Group Ag2024-12-31
2.4 M
Van Lanschot Kempen Investment Management Nv2024-12-31
2.2 M
American Century Companies Inc2024-12-31
2.1 M
Millennium Management Llc2024-12-31
M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-12-31
M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
17 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
15.8 M
Note, although Mueller Water's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Mueller Water Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Capital Expenditures62.7M54.7M47.6M47.4M54.5M55.8M
Net Income70.4M76.6M85.5M115.9M133.3M139.9M
Change To Netincome20.5M22M12.3M(4.2M)(3.8M)(3.6M)
Change To Inventory(23.5M)(98.3M)(19.9M)(8M)(7.2M)(6.8M)
Change In Cash18.6M(81M)13.8M149.6M134.6M141.4M
Free Cash Flow94M(2.4M)61.4M191.4M220.1M231.1M
Depreciation59.6M60.5M62.5M66.2M59.6M54.1M
Other Non Cash Items19.2M7.1M1.7M28.7M25.8M49.3M
Dividends Paid34.8M36.5M38.1M39.9M35.9M34.5M
End Period Cash Flow227.5M146.5M160.3M309.9M356.4M184.4M
Net Borrowings(13.2M)(1.1M)(12.4M)(700K)(1.3M)(1.3M)
Investments(81.7M)(54.9M)(42.1M)(47.2M)(42.5M)(44.6M)

Mueller Water Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mueller Water or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mueller Water's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mueller stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.99
σ
Overall volatility
2.85
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Mueller Water Volatility Alert

Mueller Water Products has relatively low volatility with skewness of 3.85 and kurtosis of 22.1. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mueller Water's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mueller Water's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Mueller Water Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Mueller Water's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mueller Water's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mueller Water and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mueller Water or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mueller Water's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mueller Water by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Mueller Water to competition
FundamentalsMueller WaterPeer Average
Return On Equity0.17-0.31
Return On Asset0.0915-0.14
Profit Margin0.10 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.16 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.33 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding156.6 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.63 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions96.56 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.58 M4.71 M
Price To Earning24.39 X28.72 X
Price To Book5.03 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.02 X11.42 X
Revenue1.31 B9.43 B
Gross Profit475.7 M27.38 B
EBITDA181.7 M3.9 B
Net Income115.9 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents146.5 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.99 X5.01 X
Total Debt477.5 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.67 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.26 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share5.33 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations238.8 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.57 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.87 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.47 X4.89 X
Target Price29.17
Number Of Employees3.4 K18.84 K
Beta1.39-0.15
Market Capitalization4.12 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.64 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(365.9 M)9.33 B
Working Capital600.4 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 11132 shares by Slobodow Brian of Mueller Water at 24.7312 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Mueller Water Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mueller . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Mueller Water Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Mueller Water Products? Buying financial instruments such as Mueller Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Mueller Water in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Farming Thematic Idea Now

Farming
Farming Theme
Companies producing farming products and providing services for farmers. The Farming theme has 48 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Farming Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Mueller Water Products offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Mueller Water's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Mueller Water Products Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Mueller Water Products Stock:
Check out Mueller Water Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mueller Water. If investors know Mueller will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mueller Water listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.444
Dividend Share
0.259
Earnings Share
0.87
Revenue Per Share
8.736
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.187
The market value of Mueller Water Products is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mueller that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mueller Water's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mueller Water's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mueller Water's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mueller Water's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mueller Water's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mueller Water is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mueller Water's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.