Vail Resorts Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MTN Stock | USD 160.67 0.18 0.11% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vail Resorts is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Vail Resorts' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Vail Resorts Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Vail Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vail Resorts guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Vail and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Vail Resorts. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
Vail |
Execute Vail Resorts Buy or Sell Advice
The Vail recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vail Resorts. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vail Resorts or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vail Resorts' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
3 Months |
Risk Tolerance
I am an educated risk taker |
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves slightly opposite to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Vail Resorts Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Vail Resorts generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Are You a Momentum Investor This 1 Stock Could Be the Perfect Pick |
Vail Resorts Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Vail Resorts' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vail Resorts' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vail Resorts daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vail Resorts price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vail Resorts returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vail Resorts.
| Mean Return | -0.2 |
| Value At Risk | -3.53 |
| Potential Upside | 2.62 |
| Standard Deviation | 2.08 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vail Resorts historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Vail Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Vail Resorts, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vail Resorts back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | |||
| Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 646.4 K | |
| Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-12-31 | 559.8 K | |
| Point72 Asset Management, L.p. | 2024-12-31 | 546.4 K | |
| First Pacific Advisors, Lp | 2024-12-31 | 522.3 K | |
| Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 521.6 K | |
| Fmr Inc | 2024-12-31 | 474.9 K | |
| Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-12-31 | 473.9 K | |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-12-31 | 464.4 K | |
| River Road Asset Management, Llc | 2024-12-31 | 444.3 K | |
| Bamco Inc | 2024-12-31 | 5.3 M | |
| Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-12-31 | 3.7 M |
Vail Resorts Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 22.8M | (28.0M) | (23.4M) | 13.2M | 11.9M | 12.5M | |
| Change In Cash | 856.5M | (132.5M) | (553.0M) | (236.0M) | (271.4M) | (257.9M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 410.2M | 517.7M | 324.7M | 375.6M | 431.9M | 453.5M | |
| Depreciation | 252.6M | 252.4M | 268.5M | 276.5M | 318.0M | 333.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 12.5M | (20.2M) | 54.2M | 49.8M | 44.9M | 30.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 115.1M | 192.8M | 314.9M | 211.2M | 242.9M | 131.3M | |
| Net Income | 124.5M | 368.3M | 285.1M | 246.3M | 283.2M | 297.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.3B | 1.1B | 573.1M | 337.1M | 387.6M | 207.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 42.2M | 17.4M | (21.7M) | 120.6M | 108.6M | 114.0M | |
| Dividends Paid | 78.2M | 225.8M | 314.4M | 323.7M | 372.2M | 390.8M | |
| Net Borrowings | 1.5B | 494.6M | (146.6M) | (73.9M) | (85.0M) | (80.7M) | |
| Investments | (103.3M) | (347.9M) | (273.2M) | (241.1M) | (277.2M) | (291.1M) |
Vail Resorts Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vail Resorts or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vail Resorts' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vail stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Vail Resorts Volatility Alert
Vail Resorts exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.59 and kurtosis of 3.92. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vail Resorts' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vail Resorts' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Vail Resorts Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Vail Resorts' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vail Resorts' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vail Resorts and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vail Resorts or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vail Resorts' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vail Resorts by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Vail Resorts to competition |
| Fundamentals | Vail Resorts | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.28 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0621 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.34 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 8.47 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 37.34 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.41 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 98.59 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.41 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 71.25 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 11.54 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.03 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.89 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.31 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 783.43 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 246.28 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 562.98 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 27.49 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3.04 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.59 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.61 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 14.21 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 586.77 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.80 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 6.85 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.00 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 190.42 | |
| Number Of Employees | 7.6 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.13 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 5.99 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 5.7 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 780.43 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (201.95 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by William Rock of 3433 shares of Vail Resorts subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Vail Resorts Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vail . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Vail Resorts Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Vail Resorts? Buying financial instruments such as Vail Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Vail Resorts in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Aluminum Thematic Idea Now
Aluminum
Companies involved in production of aluminum. The Aluminum theme has 39 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Aluminum Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out Vail Resorts Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Vail Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vail Resorts guide.You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vail Resorts. If investors know Vail will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vail Resorts listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.139 | Dividend Share 8.88 | Earnings Share 6.85 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.055 |
The market value of Vail Resorts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vail that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vail Resorts' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vail Resorts' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vail Resorts' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vail Resorts' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vail Resorts' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vail Resorts is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vail Resorts' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.