Vail Resorts Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MTN Stock  USD 159.57  0.16  0.10%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vail Resorts is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Vail Resorts' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Vail Resorts Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Vail Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vail Resorts guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Vail and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Vail Resorts. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Vail Resorts Buy or Sell Advice

The Vail recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vail Resorts. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vail Resorts or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vail Resorts' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Vail ResortsBuy Vail Resorts
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Vail Resorts has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.10), Jensen Alpha of (0.22), Total Risk Alpha of (0) and Treynor Ratio of (0.57)
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Vail Resorts to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Vail Resorts. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Vail Resorts is not overpriced, please validate all Vail Resorts fundamentals, including its debt to equity, market capitalization, and the relationship between the ebitda and earnings per share . Given that Vail Resorts has a price to earning of 71.25 X, we advise you to double-check Vail Resorts market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Vail Resorts Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Vail Resorts generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Playa Hotels Resorts Celebrates the Grand Opening of Wyndham Alltra Punta Cana

Vail Resorts Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Vail Resorts' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vail Resorts' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vail Resorts daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vail Resorts price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vail Resorts returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vail Resorts.
Mean Return
-0.26
Value At Risk
-3.53
Potential Upside
2.62
Standard Deviation
2.13
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vail Resorts historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Vail Resorts Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vail Resorts or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vail Resorts' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vail stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.47
σ
Overall volatility
2.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Vail Resorts Volatility Alert

Vail Resorts exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.66 and kurtosis of 4.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vail Resorts' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vail Resorts' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Vail Resorts Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Vail Resorts' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vail Resorts' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vail Resorts and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vail Resorts or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vail Resorts' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vail Resorts by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Vail Resorts to competition
FundamentalsVail ResortsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.28-0.31
Return On Asset0.0621-0.14
Profit Margin0.09 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.34 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation8.52 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding37.34 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.40 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.60 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.41 M4.71 M
Price To Earning71.25 X28.72 X
Price To Book11.38 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.02 X11.42 X
Revenue2.89 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.31 B27.38 B
EBITDA783.43 M3.9 B
Net Income246.28 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents562.98 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share27.49 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.04 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.59 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.61 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share14.21 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations586.77 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.80 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share6.85 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.00 X4.89 X
Target Price190.42
Number Of Employees7.6 K18.84 K
Beta1.13-0.15
Market Capitalization5.96 B19.03 B
Total Asset5.7 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings780.43 M9.33 B
Working Capital(201.95 M)1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by William Rock of 3433 shares of Vail Resorts subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Vail Resorts Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vail . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Vail Resorts Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Vail Resorts? Buying financial instruments such as Vail Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Vail Resorts in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Cigarettes Theme
Tobacco makers and distributors across globe. The Cigarettes theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Cigarettes Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Vail Resorts offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Vail Resorts' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vail Resorts Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vail Resorts Stock:
Check out Vail Resorts Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Vail Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vail Resorts guide.
You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vail Resorts. If investors know Vail will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vail Resorts listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Vail Resorts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vail that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vail Resorts' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vail Resorts' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vail Resorts' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vail Resorts' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vail Resorts' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vail Resorts is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vail Resorts' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.