Morguard Real Estate Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MRT-UN Stock  CAD 5.50  0.01  0.18%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Morguard Real Estate is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Morguard Real buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MRT-UN positions.
  
Check out Morguard Real Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Morguard and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Morguard Real Estate. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Execute Morguard Real Buy or Sell Advice

The Morguard recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Morguard Real Estate. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Morguard Real Estate or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Morguard Real's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Morguard RealBuy Morguard Real
Strong Sell

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Morguard Real Estate has a Mean Deviation of 0.9507, Semi Deviation of 1.2, Standard Deviation of 1.25, Variance of 1.56, Downside Variance of 1.94 and Semi Variance of 1.43
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Morguard Real Estate. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Morguard Real Estate is not overpriced, please verify all Morguard Real Estate fundamentals, including its price to sales, debt to equity, market capitalization, as well as the relationship between the net income and short ratio .

Morguard Real Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Morguard Real Estate has accumulated 1.26 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.11, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Morguard Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.14, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Morguard Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Morguard Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Morguard Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Morguard to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Morguard Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 255.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (74.44 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 124.3 M.
About 92.0% of Morguard Real outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Morguard Real Estate Inv. Insider Morguard Corporation Buys 16,500 Shares - MarketBeat

Morguard Real Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Morguard Real's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Morguard Real's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Morguard Real daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Morguard Real Estate price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Morguard Real returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Morguard Real.
Mean Return
0.05
Value At Risk
-2.16
Potential Upside
2.03
Standard Deviation
1.25
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Morguard Real historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Morguard Real Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(4.9M)2.9M2.6M(1.6M)(2.4M)(2.3M)
Free Cash Flow37.0M15.1M63.1M41.6M27.3M19.5M
Other Non Cash Items74.4M423.1M62.4M155.6M129.1M135.6M
Dividends Paid57.8M21.4M16.5M16.0M15.2M14.4M
Capital Expenditures52.3M31.8M17.1M32.4M39.0M44.4M
Net Income14.8M(357.4M)4.9M(86.1M)(74.4M)(70.7M)
End Period Cash Flow5.8M8.6M11.3M9.7M7.3M12.1M
Net Borrowings(9.4M)4.1M(57.3M)(26.7M)(24.0M)(22.8M)
Change To Netincome72.4M421.1M60.0M153.7M176.8M185.6M
Investments(36.4M)(25.0M)(2.9M)(32.4M)(41.8M)(43.9M)

Morguard Real Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Morguard Real or Diversified REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Morguard Real's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Morguard stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.17
σ
Overall volatility
1.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Morguard Real Volatility Alert

Morguard Real Estate has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.26 and kurtosis of 0.74. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Morguard Real's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Morguard Real's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Morguard Real Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Morguard Real's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Morguard Real's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Morguard Real and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Morguard Real or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Morguard Real's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Morguard Real by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Morguard Real to competition
FundamentalsMorguard RealPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0535-0.31
Return On Asset0.0348-0.14
Profit Margin(0.20) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.50 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.58 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding64.28 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders92.13 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions0.61 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.34 M4.71 M
Price To Earning26.62 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.38 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.37 X11.42 X
Revenue255.08 M9.43 B
Gross Profit124.3 M27.38 B
EBITDA123.9 M3.9 B
Net Income(74.44 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents8.84 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.14 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.26 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.11 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.14 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share14.36 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations66.32 M971.22 M
Short Ratio130.77 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.79) X3.12 X
Target Price6.0
Beta1.4-0.15
Market Capitalization354.21 M19.03 B
Total Asset2.28 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings311.75 M9.33 B
Working Capital(446.25 M)1.48 B
Current Asset38.71 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities236.27 M7.9 B

Morguard Real Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Morguard . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Morguard Real Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Morguard Real Estate? Buying financial instruments such as Morguard Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Morguard Stock

Morguard Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Morguard Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Morguard with respect to the benefits of owning Morguard Real security.