Mogu Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MOGU Stock | USD 1.87 0.06 3.11% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding MOGU Inc is 'Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell MOGU Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for MOGU Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out MOGU Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as MOGU and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. MOGU Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
MOGU |
Execute MOGU Buy or Sell Advice
The MOGU recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on MOGU Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in MOGU Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute MOGU's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
MOGU Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| MOGU Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MOGU Inc may become a speculative penny stock | |
| MOGU Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| MOGU Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 160.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (59.28 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 177.87 M. | |
| MOGU Inc currently holds about 637.98 M in cash with (40.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 76.74, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Connect Biopharma Holdings And Two Other Promising Penny Stocks To Watch - Yahoo Finance |
MOGU Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of MOGU's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of MOGU's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of MOGU daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use MOGU Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of MOGU returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for MOGU.
| Mean Return | -0.2 | Value At Risk | -8.02 | Potential Upside | 6.17 | Standard Deviation | 4.37 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of MOGU historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
MOGU Stock Institutional Investors
The MOGU's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase MOGU's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Hillhouse Capital Advisors, Ltd. | 2024-12-31 | 847.5 K | Tb Alternative Assets Ltd. | 2024-12-31 | 689.1 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-12-31 | 15.2 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-12-31 | 15.2 K | Sbi Securities Co Ltd | 2024-12-31 | 443 | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-12-31 | 1.0 | Qube Research & Technologies | 2024-09-30 | 0.0 | Ubs Group Ag | 2024-09-30 | 0.0 |
MOGU Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 2.7M | 161K | (64K) | 46K | 52.9K | 50.3K | |
| Investments | (96.7M) | 13.9M | 608K | (19.8M) | (22.7M) | (23.9M) | |
| Change In Cash | (314.5M) | (103.5M) | (22.4M) | (57.7M) | (66.4M) | (69.7M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (230.6M) | (169.5M) | (65.6M) | (134.6M) | (154.8M) | (162.6M) | |
| Depreciation | 351.1M | 333.6M | 73.9M | 14.1M | 12.7M | 12.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (94.5M) | 216.2M | 94.8M | (1.6M) | (1.4M) | (1.3M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 152.6M | 55.1M | 55.5M | 94.2M | 108.3M | 64.9M | |
| Net Income | (328.0M) | (639.8M) | (178.0M) | (59.3M) | (68.2M) | (71.6M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 542.9M | 439.4M | 417.0M | 359.3M | 323.4M | 639.1M | |
| Change To Netincome | 45.5M | 1.6B | (101.1M) | 191.8M | 220.6M | 278.7M |
MOGU Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to MOGU or Broadline Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that MOGU's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a MOGU stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
MOGU Volatility Alert
MOGU Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.58 and kurtosis of 0.78. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure MOGU's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact MOGU's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.MOGU Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing MOGU's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze MOGU's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between MOGU and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as MOGU or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of MOGU's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MOGU by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare MOGU to competition |
| Fundamentals | MOGU | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.1 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0445 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.37) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.35) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | (33.7 M) | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 7.21 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 15.66 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 21.79 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.52 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (3.70) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.20 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.11 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 160.34 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 177.87 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (51.42 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (59.28 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 637.98 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 76.74 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.66 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.01 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.23 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 71.61 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (40.46 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.31 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.83) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 35.66 | |
| Number Of Employees | 308 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.59 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 16.75 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 938.36 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (8.86 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 185.98 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 2.04 B | 9.34 B |
MOGU Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as MOGU . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About MOGU Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell MOGU Inc? Buying financial instruments such as MOGU Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for MOGU Stock Analysis
When running MOGU's price analysis, check to measure MOGU's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MOGU is operating at the current time. Most of MOGU's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MOGU's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MOGU's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MOGU to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.