Mach Natural Resources Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MNR Stock  USD 14.62  0.32  2.24%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Mach Natural Resources is 'Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Mach Natural Resources within the specified time frame.
  
Check out Mach Natural Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Mach and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Mach Natural Resources. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Mach Natural Buy or Sell Advice

The Mach recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mach Natural Resources. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mach Natural Resources or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mach Natural's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Mach NaturalBuy Mach Natural
Buy

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Mach Natural Resources has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0399, Jensen Alpha of 0.1002, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2805, Sortino Ratio of 0.0856 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1653
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Mach Natural Resources and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Mach Natural Resources is not overpriced, please verify all Mach Natural Resources fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, cash per share, number of employees, as well as the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that Mach Natural Resources has a price to earning of 46.62 X, we recommend you to check Mach Natural market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Mach Natural Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Mach Natural generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 13th of March 2025 Mach Natural paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Mach Natural Resources LP 2024 Schedule K-1 Tax Packages for Common Units Now Available

Mach Natural Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Mach Natural's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mach Natural's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mach Natural daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mach Natural Resources price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mach Natural returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mach Natural.
Mean Return
0.07
Value At Risk
-2.56
Potential Upside
2.46
Standard Deviation
1.76
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mach Natural historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Mach Natural Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash3.3M(865K)(29.9M)123.4M141.9M149.0M
Free Cash Flow99.2M157.5M310.5M(577.9M)(664.6M)(631.4M)
Depreciation51.3M56.4M124.8M137.6M158.3M166.2M
Other Non Cash Items74.2M55.9M48.6M(49.7M)(57.2M)(54.3M)
Dividends Paid65.3M84.7M72.9M274.8M316.1M331.9M
Capital Expenditures330K41.0M243.0M1.1B1.2B1.3B
Net Income(22.1M)138.4M516.8M346.6M398.5M418.5M
End Period Cash Flow23.5M59.3M29.4M152.8M175.7M184.5M

Mach Natural Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mach Natural or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mach Natural's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mach stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.36
σ
Overall volatility
1.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Mach Natural Volatility Alert

Mach Natural Resources has relatively low volatility with skewness of -1.37 and kurtosis of 5.08. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mach Natural's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mach Natural's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Mach Natural Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Mach Natural's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mach Natural's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mach Natural and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mach Natural or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mach Natural's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mach Natural by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Mach Natural to competition
FundamentalsMach NaturalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.24-0.31
Return On Asset0.12-0.14
Profit Margin0.28 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.45 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.26 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding116.4 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders12.20 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions67.05 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted679.92 K4.71 M
Price To Earning46.62 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.36 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.95 X11.42 X
Revenue762.31 M9.43 B
Gross Profit576.43 M27.38 B
EBITDA495.38 M3.9 B
Net Income346.56 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents48.62 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.49 X5.01 X
Total Debt824.49 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.99 %48.70 %
Current Ratio7.45 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share11.85 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations491.74 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.47 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.90 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth8.81 X4.89 X
Target Price24.7
Number Of Employees44218.84 K
Beta0.73-0.15
Market Capitalization1.7 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.3 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings794.52 K9.33 B
Working Capital68.69 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 2189 shares by Kevin White of Mach Natural at 17.81 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Mach Natural Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mach . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Mach Natural Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Mach Natural Resources? Buying financial instruments such as Mach Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Mach Natural in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Printing and Publishing Thematic Idea Now

Printing and Publishing
Printing and Publishing Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Printing and Publishing theme has 20 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Printing and Publishing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Mach Stock Analysis

When running Mach Natural's price analysis, check to measure Mach Natural's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mach Natural is operating at the current time. Most of Mach Natural's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mach Natural's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mach Natural's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mach Natural to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.